Tuesday, February 24, 2009
No time to mince words. Let's roll!
Tuesday:
Penn State at Ohio State
Gamm says: Ohio State snaps a three game losing streak.
Buckeye Nation says: Just when most Buckeye fans thought their team was in the driver's seat for an invite to the Big Dance, two losses to teams from the Land of Lincoln who couldn't miss whatever they put up, put them squarely back on the NCAA tournament bubble. The game against the Nittany Lions now becomes a veritable "must win" situation for the young Buckeyes at a time when a little self-doubt is creeping into the Buckeye psyche. Moreover, the Nits feature Jamelle Cornley, a local Columbus City League product, who has been mouthing off that his team will beat the Bucks, ever since he arrived at State College. The Buckeyes have their backs against the wall, and it will take a focused, aggressive approach on offense and defense for OSU to prevail. Given these circumstances, the Schott should be rocking, and the home court will be the decisive edge in what should be a rock 'em - sock 'em Big 10 game. Ohio State 65 - Penn State 61
Mayo170 says: Ohio State
Wednesday:
Northwestern at Indiana
Gamm says: Northwestern has NIT on their minds. IU gives it a run and could easily win, but I like NU here.
Buckeye Nation says: Indiana
Mayo170 says: Northwestern seems to be a couple of games out of the dance at this point, and after getting blown out by Minnesota, it’s all about getting more wins. Indiana on the other hand is playing hard, but not very talented. My guess is that Northwestern is going to win this game, but IU will keep it close. NU 54 – IU 51
Iowa at Michigan State
Gamm says: Can't take anyone in this conference as a gimme win. Spartans were stretched to the limit on Sunday but have what it takes to finally close out another conference title. It starts with this one, where Raymar has his best game in six weeks and MSU runs away. MSU 71 - Iowa 52.
Buckeye Nation says: Michigan State
Mayo170 says: Michigan State
Thursday:
Minnesota at Illinois
Gamm says: Huge game for both teams. Illinois proved that they are not invincible at home. Minnesota got right with a huge win over NU. Illini barely stay in the race to set up a Sunday showdown.
Buckeye Nation says: Illinois
Mayo170 says: Minnesota has been so hard to figure out this year. The Barn will absolutely be up for this game, and Illinois is putting together a pretty nice season. I had my doubts about Weber keeping things going after Self left a while back, but this team is tough to beat. Illinois seems pretty determined to get things rolling before tourney time. Illinois 68 – Minnesota 59
Purdue at Michigan
Gamm says: Michigan's dreams of getting back to the dance likely dissipated in Iowa City. Purdue has a title in mind. Purdue rolls.
Buckeye Nation says: Purdue
Mayo170 says: Well, if Michigan really needed a win, it was this past weekend at Iowa. Of course, they blew that one and now they have a very tough go of it to try and get back on the bubble. This is been Michigan recently though, the end of the season when they can put it together, it starts falling apart. Purdue on the other hand has been playing much better since the train wreck at the start of conference play. I thought Michigan might be able to get into the Tournament this year, but it’s back to the Not Invited Tournament and Purdue cements that with a big win. Purdue 71 – Michigan 54.
Saturday:
Iowa at Northwestern
Gamm says: Northwestern gets a big win and steps closer to the NIT.
Buckeye Nation says: Northwestern
Mayo170 says: Iowa
Ohio State at Purdue
Gamm says: Purdue has payback in mind. Big time payback.
Buckeye Nation says: Paybacks are hell, especially in the Big 10. I fully expect the Buckeyes to give a game effort in West Lafayette, especially given the liability they will face there as a road team. However, the Boilermakers are nearly healthy with the return of Robbie Hummel. Plus, they no doubt remember the OT loss they suffered in Columbus earlier in the month. As much as I hope I'm wrong, my mind and my gut tells me that the Boilers win this game, although it shouldn't be a cakewalk. Purdue 71 Ohio State 64
Mayo170 says: Purdue
Indiana at Penn State
Gamm says: Penn State puts any bubble talk to rest.
Buckeye Nation says: Penn State
Mayo170 says: Penn State
Sunday:
Michigan at Wisconsin
Gamm says: Wisconsin makes up for the fall in East Lansing.
Buckeye Nation says: For the Wolverines, a trip to Madison against a resurgent Badger team is NOT what the doctor ordered. Michigan has the marquee wins on its resume, but not really when it comes to wins in the conference. Except for a recent stumble in East Lansing, Bo Ryan has Wisconsin on a roll. While Michigan may have a chance if they go lights-out from 3 point-land, they will likely be intimidated by the Kohl fieldhouse crowd and go down. Wisconsin 71 Michigan 60
Mayo170 says: Wisconsin
Michigan State at Illinois (Tiebreaker)
Gamm says: This one pulls me in two very different directions. State struggles at Illinois. But Illinois isn't unbeatable at Assembly as proven by Penn State. The teams battled in January in a very defensive game. Win this and State likely clinches at least a tie (if not completely, theoretically). An Illinois win keeps them right in the mix. Coin toss. MSU 58 - ILL 57.
Buckeye Nation says: After embarrassing themselves at home last week against Penn State, the Illini seemingly couldn't miss a basket when they came away with a huge win over the Buckeyes in Columbus, and thus put themselves back in the race for a chance at the Big 10 championship, IF MSU can stumble one more time. But for that to be a possibility, the Illini have to beat the Spartans at home, which will be extremely difficult. When Illinois plays well, they look like world-beaters, when they don't, all you can see is Bruce Weber whining about everything. Tom Izzo has his team well-positioned to win yet another regular season Big 10 title, and he will have MSU ready to pull off a big road win. However, my gut tells me that the Spartans will come up just a little short before a raucous crowd in Assembly Hall. After the final buzzer sounds, they will be toasting in Champaign-Urbana, with hopes that Purdue can pull off the miracle at the end of the season in East Lansing. Illinois 78 Michigan State 76
Mayo170 says: What a great game this is turning out to be. Lot’s of marbles on the floor for this one. I really like the way MSU has played this year, all things (illness mostly) considered. Illinois has made some waves this year too, and could put a big end-of-the-year boost in the win column with this game. MSU should have everyone totally healthy and practicing/playing full-speed by the time this one rolls around. The road has been very good to the Spartans this season and I think their defense will be enough to win this one. MSU 63 – Illinois 58
Monday, February 23, 2009
We've got a great race to the finish, and bigger than that, an excellent race to see if the Big Ten can land as many as eight teams in the Big Dance.
Mayo and Buckeye tied with the best records last week, so see below for which games you'll pick.
Two weeks to go. Gonna be a wild ride!
Tuesday:
Penn State at Ohio State (Buckeye Nation)
Wednesday:
Northwestern at Indiana (Mayo)
Iowa at Michigan State (Gamm)
Thursday:
Minnesota at Illinois (Mayo)
Purdue at Michigan (Mayo)
Saturday:
Iowa at Northwestern
Ohio State at Purdue (Buckeye Nation)
Indiana at Penn State
Sunday:
Michigan at Wisconsin (Buckeye Nation)
Michigan State at Illinois (Tiebreaker - all three pick)
Thursday, February 19, 2009
Wow, I tuned in to watch the Penn State v. Illinois basketball game last night and a high scoring football game broke out! Tough to believe that as tough as the Illini are at home, they've lost three straight to the Nittany Lions at Assembly Hall. That effectively knocks Illinois out of the race for first, as I think no more than four losses takes it this year.
Ohio State also took one on the chin, though in a much more entertaining fashion. The three point shooting in that game was unreal. Northwestern has to be thinking "we're five points - FIVE POINTS - in three home losses (Purdue, Illinois, Michigan) away from 17-7 and a very real shot at the school's first ever berth to the Big Dance.
With all that went on last night, Purdue's win over Michigan State and five to six games left on everyone's plate, I thought I would go team by team and run through how I see the season playing out. By the way, realize I have no analyzed all the tie breakers for seeding, so I admit I may be off a slot or two where there are ties!
Michigan State - 10-3 (20-5)
2/22 - Wisconsin (WIN)
2/25 - Iowa (WIN)
3/1 - at Illinois (LOSS)
3/3 - at Indiana (WIN)
3/7 or 8 - Purdue (WIN)
14-4 (24-6). Big Ten champs. No. 1 seed in B10 Tourney, No. 2 seed in Big Dance.
Purdue - 9-4 (20-6)
2/21 - Indiana (WIN)
2/26 - at Michigan (WIN)
2/28 - Ohio State (WIN)
3/4 - Northwestern (WIN)
3/7 or 8 - at Michigan State (LOSS)
13-5 (24-7). Second place. No. 2 seed in B10 Tourney, No. 3 seed in Big Dance.
Illinois - 9-5 (21-6)
2/22 - at Ohio State (LOSS)
2/26 - Minnesota (WIN)
3/1 - Michigan State (WIN)
3/5 - at Penn State (WIN)
12-6 (24-7). 3rd place finish. No. 3 seed in B10 Tourney, No. 6 seed in Big Dance.
Penn State - 8-6 (19-8)
2/24 - at Ohio State (LOSS)
2/28 - Indiana (WIN)
3/5 - Illinois (LOSS)
3/7 - at Iowa (WIN)
10-8 (21-10). T-5th place finish. No. 6 seed in B10 Tourney, No. 10 seed in Big Dance.
Minnesota - 7-6 (19-6)
2/19 - at Michigan (LOSS)
2/22 - Northwestern (WIN)
2/26 - at Illinois (LOSS)
3/4 - Wisconson (WIN)
3/8 - Michigan (WIN)
10-8 (22-8). T-5th place finish. No. 7 seed in B10 Tourney, No. 9 seed in Big Dance.
Ohio State - 7-6 (17-7)
2/22 - Illinois (WIN)
2/24 - Penn State (WIN)
2/28 - at Purdue (LOSS)
3/3 - at Iowa (WIN)
3/7 - Northwestern (WIN)
11-7 (21-8). 4th place finish. No. 4 seed in B10 Tourney, No. 6 seed in Big Dance.
Wisconsin - 7-6 (16-9)
2/19 - at Indiana (WIN)
2/22 - at Michigan State (LOSS)
3/1 - Michigan (WIN)
3/4 - at Minnesota (LOSS)
3/7 - Indiana (WIN)
10-8 (19-11). T-5th place finish. No. 5 seed in B10 Tourney, No. 11 seed in Big Dance.
Michigan - 6-7 (16-10)
2/19 - Minnesota (WIN)
2/22 - at Iowa (WIN)
2/26 - Purdue (LOSS)
3/1 - at Wisconsin (LOSS)
3/7 - at Minnesota (LOSS)
8-10 (18-13). 8th place finish. No. 8 seed in B10 Tourney, NIT bid.
Northwestern - 5-8 (14-10)
2/22 - at Minnesota (LOSS)
2/25 - at Indiana (WIN)
2/28 - Iowa (WIN)
3/4 - at Purdue (LOSS)
3/7 - at Ohio State (LOSS)
7-11 (16-13). 9th place finish. No. 9 seed in B10 Tourney, NIT bid.
Iowa - 3-10 (13-13)
2/22 - Michigan (LOSS)
2/25 - at Michigan State (LOSS)
2/28 - at Northwestern (LOSS)
3/3 - Ohio State (LOSS)
3/7 - Penn State (LOSS)
3-15 (13-18). X place finish. No. X seed in B10 Tourney.
Indiana - 1-11 (6-18)
2/19 - Wisconsin (LOSS)
2/21 - at Purdue (LOSS)
2/25 - Northwestern (LOSS)
2/28 - at Penn State (LOSS)
3/3 - Michigan State (LOSS)
3/7 - at Wisconsin (LOSS)
1-17 (6-24). Last place finish. No. 11 seed in B10 Tourney.
Tuesday, February 17, 2009
Sorry for the late nature of the post. Work has been a zoo! Dan Meyer was the only one to beat me last week - a nifty 10-0 to get back in the race. Buckeye slipped a little, pushing me back to the top.
A huge week on tap for the contest as well as the league standings, starting with the big one tonight in West Lafayette.
Tuesday
Michigan State @ Purdue
Gamm says ... Head to head between my Spartans and Dan's Boilers. Hummel and Morgan will both play so no excuses allowed. State has been a fine-tuned machine on the road this season. Purdue has been strong at home and owns a 26-10 advantage in the series at Mackey. MSU spotted the Boilers a big lead last year and nearly came back. With a week of rest, I think State will be geared up and ready to roll. I expect this to be a barn-burner, but MSU takes an enormous next step in the Big Ten race. MSU 68 - Purdue 67.
Dan says ... Michigan State 65 at PURDUE 68--Probably a biased pick but Boilers NEED the win and Hummel has had one game to get the rust off.
Wednesday
Penn State @ Illinois
Gamm says ... Penn State is likely in the Big Dance at this point, but has a chance to make a big statement here. Illinois wants to stay in the Big Ten race. Illini win at home.
Dan says ... Penn State 65 at ILLINOIS 72--Illini hold serve at home and move within a game of the Spartans.
Ohio State @ Northwestern
Gamm says ... Oh the humanity. NU has lost three games by a total of 5 points at home (Purdue, Illinois and Michigan). The Big Dance is really slipping away, and the NIT might if the 'cats don't hold serve. Northwestern squeaks this one out.
Dan says ... Ohio State 62 at NORTHWESTERN 63--I think eventually that the Wildcats break through and this is the time.
Thursday
Minnesota @ Michigan
Gamm says ... You can't call this an elimination game on both sides, but it certainly looks that way for Michigan. Minnesota is up and down right now, this means more to Michigan. Wolverines win.
Dan says ... ?
Wisconsin @ Indiana
Gamm says ... No Brian Butch bank shot needed. Wisconsin rolls.
Dan says ... WISCONSIN 74 at Indiana 68--Suddenly hot Badgers win fifth straight.
Saturday
Indiana @ Purdue
Gamm says ... Rivalry time! IU has the short turn around and Purdue will be hungry after a tough loss to MSU. Purdue rolls.
Dan says ... Indiana 58 at PURDUE 66--Hoosiers are playing better, but not enough better to win at Mackey in rivalry game.
Sunday
Illinois @ Ohio State
Gamm says ... Bucks have been tough at home and knock the Illini back a peg...
Dan says ... Illinois 72 at OHIO STATE 74--Basically a home-court pick in the first of two excellent games.
Wisconsin @ Michigan State
Gamm says ... MSU's basketball nemesis comes calling for our only battle on the year. Wisconsin has stripped State of Big Ten title dreams in the past (an OT loss with the banner hanging rolled in the rafters comes to mind) but this one brings some revenge. State 68 - Wisconsin 57.
Dan says ... Wisconsin 68 at MICHIGAN STATE 70--Spartans stretched to limit, but keep top spot in Big Ten and end Badgers' winning streak.
Michigan @ Iowa
Gamm says ... Iowa has been pesky at home, but Michigan gets another huge win.
Dan says ... MICHIGAN 63 at Iowa 62--Wolverines get a valuable road split.
Northwestern @ Minnesota
Gamm says ... Minnesota gets back to winning...
Dan says ... Northwestern 65 at MINNESOTA 70--Tubby and company burnish their Big Dance credentials.
Tuesday, February 10, 2009
We're starting to get a glimpse of March and the madness that ensues. Every game is critical in the Big Ten race and as teams jockey to get into the Big Dance, for seeding, etc.
Some big ones on the slate in the Big Ten this week to continue to whet the appetite.
Tuesday
Michigan State @ Michigan
Gamm says - MSU is 5-0 on the road. Michigan had a good week last week after a not so hot run the week before. The key is simple: Michigan takes a load more triples than anyone else, but also makes them less than any other team. The Spartans rebound and run better than anyone in the nation. If the Wolverines are making the triples, this could be an upset. The Spartans will miss Raymar Morgan more this game than in the past few. I think State gets the W and goes into the week off on a high. MSU 67 - Michigan 65.
Buckeye Nation says - Michigan State
Indiana @ Minnesota
Gamm says - Minnesota gets back on track. IU will miss Devan "The Elbow Thrower" Dumes.
Buckeye Nation says - Minnesota
Wednesday
Penn State @ Purdue
Gamm says - Purdue is hurting without Robbie Hummel. On one hand, you know he wants to come back. On the other, I think for his career and future with the Boilers, he needs to sit the rest of the season. Purdue is looking for payback and Penn State is reeling. Purdue 65 - Penn State 51.
Buckeye Nation says - Purdue
Iowa @ Wisconsin
Gamm says - Wisconsin is rolling again with March in mind.
Buckeye Nation says - Wisconsin
Thursday
Illinois @ Northwestern
Gamm says - A little rivalry action to take us into the weekend. Illinois is playing with confidence and Northwestern lost a critical game at Iowa. This is huge for the Wildcats so I'm going with the upset. NU in a low scoring affair.
Buckeye Nation says - This is a "pick 'em" game. What? In usual years, everyone chalked up Northwestern as "automatic wins" when previewing their upcoming schedules. Not this year. The Wildcats have enjoyed success this year both at home (Florida State, Minnesota, Wisconsin) and on the road (huge signature win at MSU). When Bill Carmody's Princeton offense is clicking, Northwestern is very tough, especially this season. Illinois has been largely a tale of two teams (except at Purdue who had injuries): awesome at home, beatable on the road. Throw in the fact that this is a rivalry game, the only regular season meeting between these two teams, and the stakes grow even higher. Illinois looks like a NCAA tournament team, but the Cats aren't there yet. It is tough to win on the road in the Big 10. This one will go down to the wire with the Wildcats winning an emotional game in a see-saw struggle. Northwestern 71 - Illinois 69
Saturday
Minnesota @ Penn State
Gamm says - this might well be an elimination game for the tournament. Both teams were swept last week and find themselves in must win position. Minny has more wins, but not enough are high quality. Same probably goes for the Nits. I like PSU to snap the three game skid and get a huge win. Penn State 63 - Minnesota 60.
Buckeye Nation says - Both of these teams have enjoyed surprising success in the Big 10 this years, but both teams enter the game on losing streaks. Tubby Smith has the Gophers playing good ball, especially at home, but Ed DeChellis can make a similar claim. The Nittany Lions were certainly feeling their oats after a stunning win at MSU, but reality set in with a road loss at Michigan and a home loss to suddenly resurgent Wisconsin. From a talent standpoint, this is a pick 'em game, but I believe the Lions with the home court advantage will prevail over Minnesota. Penn State 67 - Minnesota 63
Purdue @ Iowa
Gamm says - a potential trap for Purdue between the critical home rematch with Penn State and a game against the Spartans. But the Boilers get it done.
Buckeye Nation says - Purdue
Ohio State @ Wisconsin
Gamm says - ESPN GameDay will be in Madison and the Kohl will be rocking. In the blink of an eye, Wisconsin turns the four game losing streak into a four game win streak...
Buckeye Nation says - Just when it appeared that rigor mortis had set in on Bo Ryan's Badgers, Wisconsin notched two huge wins at home against Illinois, and on the road at suddenly good Penn State. Granted, most of the Wisconsin losses were close ones, but losing has a tendency to become habit-forming. Now, the rejuvenated Badgers will entertain Thad Matta's Buckeyes, who are enjoying their own resurgence with a 4 game winning streak including big home wins against Purdue and Minnesota. This will be the only regular season meeting against these two teams. And it will be in the Kohl Center where the Badgers usually have their way with the Buckeyes. Coming into the game, the Badgers will face Iowa at home, while the Buckeyes will be coming off of a bye-week. Last year, at Value City Arena, the Badgers prevailed, and they will definitely be favored to win this one as well. I can only hope it will not be a Valentine's Day Massacre. However, I'm a Buckeye homer, and this is a game where I think the Buckeyes, with a size advantage underneath, will have a chance to steal one on the road and pull out a win at the buzzer. Ohio State 65 - Wisconsin 63
Sunday
Illinois @ Indiana
Gamm says - Illinois
Buckeye Nation says - Illinois
Michigan @ Northwestern
Gamm says - Michigan bounces back.
Buckeye Nation says - Northwestern.
Monday, February 09, 2009
Wow was it a battle last week in the Big Ten. Penn State gets everyone within reach of Michigan State on Sunday and then - WHAM - every one starts beating up on the other. Penn State loses what could amount to two very costly games. Purdue goes down twice and is looking at what life is like without Robbie Hummel (not nearly as good, that's for sure). Wisconsin gets two huge wins after a six game losing streak. Illinois splits. Northwestern drops a critical game. Minnesota gets clipped twice. Ohio State got two killer home wins to vault back into the race. And in the end, the team that entered the week in some trouble - MSU - wins two to reclaim a two game lead.
Buckeye Nation moved to the top of the leaderboard and gets to pick this week. Maybe I'll actually have time to get my picks in on time this go around!
Without further ado...
Tuesday
Michigan State @ Michigan (Andy)
Indiana @ Minnesota
Wednesday
Penn State @ Purdue (Andy)
Iowa @ Wisconsin
Thursday
Illinois @ Northwestern (Buckeye)
Saturday
Minnesota @ Penn State (Tiebreaker - Andy & Buckeye)
Purdue @ Iowa
Ohio State @ Wisconsin (Buckeye)
Sunday
Illinois @ Indiana
Michigan @ Northwestern
Monday, February 02, 2009
The Breslin Center mystique appears to have vanished. Penn State is officially for real. Northwestern remains hot. So does Purdue. Ohio State got back on track. Illinois overcame the ugly loss at Minnesota to get back to winning. What's wrong with Wisconsin? Wins over Duke and UCLA seem like eons ago for Michigan. When will IU get its first W? Folks, we've got ourselves a race.
While Buckeye Nation and Phats tied me, I snuck out with the tiebreaker so I pick solo this week. Every week the teeth and fists clinch tighter... hang on, gonna be a wild finish!
Tuesday
Purdue @ Ohio State
Wednesday
Iowa @ Indiana
Chicago State @ Northwestern
Minnesota @ Michigan State
Thursday
Penn State @ Michigan
Illinois @ Wisconsin
Saturday
Indiana @ Michigan State
Michigan @ Connecticut
Northwestern @ Iowa
Minnesota @ Ohio State
Sunday
Purdue @ Illinois (Tiebreaker)
Wisconsin @ Penn State
Tuesday, January 27, 2009
Buckeye Nation and Phats are picking some games with me, games that are near and dear to their hearts. Some big games on tap this week in a conference that is still lacking respect from the pundits but one that is quietly racking up impressive credentials...
Tuesday
Purdue @ Wisconsin - Huge game for both. Wisconsin is hemorrhaging big time and needs to get the ship righted or the NIT starts to look like the March destination. Purdue is starting to roll and has earned one of the rare wins in the Kohl of late. Home court means something, but talent beats home court in this one. Purdue by 10.
BuckeyeNation says ... Wisconsin
Phats says ... Boilers starting to play really good basketball as of late, and started off this tough stretch of road games with a nice win at the Barn. Winning at Wisconsin is never easy, and the task got even harder since we'll be facing a mad Badger team that might start need to looking at games as must wins. Boilers will play their typical tough defense, and a healthy Kramer, and Hummel back in the starting five will mean a victory for Purdue. PURDUE over Wisconsin
Wednesday
Michigan @ Ohio State - Ohio State is on a tumble since winning in Ann Arbor. Michigan finally ended a streak with a nice win over Northwestern. Two teams that are young and evenly matched. In those cases, look to the home court edge. Ohio State gets the W by 8.
BuckeyeNation says ... The rivalry continues in this rematch of a game that the Buckeyes stole in Ann Arbor a little over a week ago. The Wolverines are coming off a big win at home against Northwestern, who likely was still celebrating their huge win at conference leader MSU in East Lansing. The Buckeyes have dropped their last two, and are in desperate need of a win at home. Both teams are young, but the Buckeyes are down a few players in their rotation, which MSU exploited brilliantly. As in their first meeting, the Buckeyes' formula for success is to contain UM on the perimeter, and dominate them underneath. UM's formula will be to knock down 3s with unbridled impunity, and hope OSU panics as a result. The crowd should be rocking the Schott on Wednesday, because, after all, this is OSU-Michigan. Look for the Buckeyes to rebound with a much-needed victory. Ohio State 67 - Michigan 60
Phats says ... Ohio State
Indiana @ Northwestern - Two teams in a bit of a role reversal. Northwestern gets a win to make it three of the last four.
BuckeyeNation says ... Northwestern
Phats says ... Northwestern
Thursday
Michigan State @ Iowa - Carver Hawkeye is never all that kind to MSU (see 36 points last year) but the Spartans are really playing well on the road and seemed to find a renewed purpose after a shaky start at Ohio State. This is a chance to start a nice four game run before the meat of the schedule really kicks in. State wins by 15.
BuckeyeNation says ... Michigan State
Phats says ... Michigan State
Illinois @ Minnesota (Tiebreaker) - The game of the week in the Big Ten. Minnesota has already lost at The Barn twice and needs to win out at home to hope to stay in the title mix. Illinois is playing as well as anyone, including Michigan State. This should be a fantastic game. It is tough to pick against Illinois right now, but I think the Gophers are ripe for a big win, especially at home. Minnesota 64 - Illinois 61.
BuckeyeNation says ... This is truly a "pick 'em" game. Illinois get the slight edge on being the better team, but Tubby has Minnesota believing in themselves this season, plus they enjoy a tremendous home court advantage in "the Barn," although the Big 10 co-favorites this year have both come out with a victory in the Twin Cities. The Gophers have looked shaky during the past week or so, and were lucky to come out with a win at Bloomington on Sunday. Illinois, on the other hand has hit its stride and Bruce Weber has the Illini contending for the Big 10 title and primed for a bid to the Big Dance after last season's bad dream. Nevertheless, it is tough to win on the road in the Big 10. This one will go down to the wire with the Gophers hitting a ridiculous shot at the buzzer to win it. Minnesota 71 - Illinois 69
Phats says ... This is a tough one, Illinois seems to be playing really well, and Minnesota seems to be going on a downward trend, if this game were at Illinois it'd be a no brainer, but the Barn is a very tough place to play. I will take Minnesota in a close game. MINNESOTA 66 illinois 64
Saturday
Michigan @ Purdue - The second of two big tests for the Wolverines. Purdue lost once at home, though, and won't lose at Mackey again this year. Purdue by 12.
BuckeyeNation says ... Purdue
Phats says ... The one home game in a 5 game stretch for the Boilers, and it's a scary one, mostly because you never know which Michigan team you're going to get. They are definitely dangerous, but the Boilermakers are playing really well right now, and I see them keeping that winning streak going, and keeping the pressure on MSU. PURDUE over michigan
Ohio State @ Indiana - Might the Hoosiers finally get a win in league play? It will happen at some point. Why not this one? IU in an upset.
BuckeyeNation says ... Who would've ever thunk it? The Indiana Hoosiers being a doormat IN HOOPS and the closest thing to a "gimme" in the Big 10 this season. Probably the last time that happened was during an era when peach baskets and the two-handed set shot were all the rage in hoops. Although the Hoosiers are decimated on their roster as a result of departures and NCAA probation, Tom Crean has gotten them to put a scare into a few Big 10 teams at Assembly Hall. The Buckeyes have a young, thin rotation due to injuries and an unforeseen transfer. Moreover, OSU will need to bring their "A game" because Indiana will lay down for no one at home. From a talent standpoint, this should be a win for OSU, and I believe Thad Matta will have his guys ready to gut out another much-needed win on the road. Ohio State 65 - Indiana 61.
Phats says ... Ohio State
Wisconsin @ Northwestern - If Wisconsin loses to Purdue at home, I think it could get really ugly. Northwestern is playing well and gets this W.
BuckeyeNation says ... Wisconsin
Phats says ... Wisconsin
Sunday
Penn State @ Michigan State - The white hot Nittany Lions get a week off to prepare for Michigan State. I think we might see more of that zone that stymied the Spartans late in State College. However, sorry to say for the fans of the Nits, NO WAY Michigan State loses at home again this year. MSU by 10.
BuckeyeNation says ... Michigan State
Phats says ... Michigan State
Iowa @ Illinois - Illinois gets a big home win over Iowa.
BuckeyeNation says ... Illinois
Phats says ... Illinois
Monday, January 26, 2009
A wild week in the Big Ten last week. Upsets, blowouts, the end of some sizable streaks in East Lansing. You name it, it happened. Here's a quick team-by-team and the slate for this week's games. Phats was the big winner last week. Since Buckeye Nation won the first week, I'll note below the games for you two to focus on. Send me your picks by tomorrow afternoon...
Illinois: A solid week for the Illini. Taking care of business at home and in style, with two big wins over Ohio State and Wisconsin. Huge road game on Thursday at Minnesota looms, followed by a visit from pesky Iowa. Stock: Rising.
Indiana: The young Hoosiers almost got that elusive conference win on Sunday and continue to scrap. It won't be long before an upset happens and it won't be long after that until we see the Hoosiers really start to put the program back together. Stock: Falling.
Iowa: A mixed bag last week. Big, overtime win over Wisconsin followed by about 32-35 minutes of domination over Penn State before gassing and sputtering to a tough road loss. Iowa is one of those hot and cold teams that will deal some damaging blows this season. Stock: Even
Michigan: The Wolverines finally snapped the losing streak with a nice win over previously white hot Northwestern. That sets up a huge week with road contests at Ohio State and Purdue. This week will go a long way in U-M's battle for an NCAA berth. Stock: Even - pending this week's action.
Michigan State: The Spartans were stunned at home and saw a bevy of streaks go by the way side. For more details, see my new MSU blog. The telling moment was how MSU overcame the benching of Lucas and Walton, the continued illness of Morgan and a slow start at OSU to get a huge win, start 4-0 on the road for the first time in school history and set up what could be a great stretch of wins. Stock: Back on the rise.
Minnesota: A rough home loss to Purdue followed by a near monumental upset at the hands of Indiana on the road. Tubby Smith can't be too pleased right now. One huge game on the schedule this week. A must win if Minnesota wants to stay in the title chase. Stock: Falling but with a chance to smooth out and rise.
Northwestern: Perhaps the biggest program win ever in East Lansing on Wednesday, followed by a rather ho-hum effort in Ann Arbor. The Wildcats have two very legitimate chances to get Ws this week, and that would go a long, long way to helping NU squeeze into the postseason. Stock: Even but teetering on the edge...
Ohio State: A rough week for the scarlet and gray. A bad loss at Illinois followed up by a blown lead and loss at home to Michigan State. The Buckeyes are young and inexperienced and that is the difference thus far. Two good chances to get back on track ahead this week. Stock: falling.
Penn State: My team of the week for last week. A big home win over Michigan followed by a gritty comeback victory over Iowa. Penn State has a week to prep for an enormous game in East Lansing as it looks to continue its three game win streak. Stock: Skyrocketing.
Purdue: Don't look now but the Boilermakers are right back where everyone had them pegged at the start of the season - right in the Big Ten mix. The trip to Wisconsin will be critical, and Purdue can't look past Michigan either. Stock: Rising
Wisconsin: This might be the worst stretch in recent memory for the Badgers. UW has lost three straight and with Purdue and Northwestern on the slate this week, it doesn't get any easier. A win in both would totally right the ship, even one is critical to save the season. Stock: Falling, fast...
This week's schedule:
Tuesday
Purdue @ Wisconsin (Phats commentary)
Wednesday
Michigan @ Ohio State (Buckeye Nation commentary)
Indiana @ Northwestern
Thursday
Michigan State @ Iowa (Gamm commentary)
Illinois @ Minnesota (Tiebreaker) (Gamm, Phats, BN commentary)
Saturday
Michigan @ Purdue (Phats commentary
Ohio State @ Indiana (Buckeye Nation commentary)
Wisconsin @ Northwestern
Sunday
Penn State @ Michigan State (Gamm commentary
Iowa @ Illinois
Tuesday, January 20, 2009
Gonna be a quick one today. Life is so busy I don't have near enough time to write like I want to. Some upsets and near upsets around the Big Ten last week. Purdue escapes NU and then NU takes it out on Minnesota who pulled off a miracle comeback win at Wisconsin mid week. Penn State finally wins at Indiana. Michigan State shakes off two pesky opponents to stake a two game lead in the conference and is off to its best start since 1978 (in league play). Check out the Big Ten recap.
This week looks to be no different. Sorry Buckeye Nation. You went 9-1 to take the prize but I don't have time to get commentary. I'll owe you one!
Here are the games this week (my picks in bold):
Tuesday
Ohio State @ Illinois
Michigan @ Penn State
Wednesday
Northwestern @ Michigan State
Wisconsin @ Iowa
Thursday
Purdue @ Minnesota 62-59 (Tiebreaker)
Saturday
Wisconsin @ Illinois
Iowa @ Penn State
Northwestern @ Michigan
Sunday
Minnesota @ Indiana
Michigan State @ Ohio State
Tuesday, January 13, 2009
Get Gamm - Basketball Style
Mayo won the honor to pick with me this week, so let's get down to business. Only one unbeaten remains in what is shaping up to be a far more competitive, deeper league than first thought.
Tuesday
Indiana at Ohio State
- Gamm says: Ohio State has too much for an Indiana team that won't be down long. OSU wins.
- Mayo170 says: Indiana in an upset.
Wednesday
Michigan State at Penn State
- Gamm says: MSU has to be thinking revenge after the foul infested, upset loss in Happy Valley last year. Penn State is better this year, makes it a game, but falls short to a team on a mission. MSU 70 - Penn State 60.
- Mayo170 says: MSU has proven they are truly a better team than either of their losses. Penn State should not be much of a threat to knock down the class of the Big Ten right now. MSU wins 68 – 55.
Michigan at Illinois
- Gamm says: Michigan jumped on Illinois a little more than a week ago, but has to face the Orange Krush for this one. I like how the Illini are playing and the home court. Illinois 71 - Michigan 63.
- Mayo170 says: As good a road test as Michigan could use right now. Illinois is a pretty good team right now, and their only loss in conference is to Michigan on the road. Illinois gets a bit of revenge with a 71 – 60 win.
Thursday
Purdue at Northwestern
- Gamm says: Purdue is rounding back into form and crushes NU.
- Mayo170 says: Purdue.
Minnesota at Wisconsin
- Gamm says: Minnesota is showing Kentucky fans what it so badly wanted to - and did - run out of Lexington. Not many teams win in Madison, but the Gophers will come close. Wisconsin 63 - Minnesota 60.
- Mayo170 says: What a great matchup this is going to be. Minnesota is rolling this year and Wisconsin is perennially a tough team in a tough place to play. I like the Gophers here in a tight one 74 – 71.
Saturday
Illinois at Michigan State
- Gamm says: On MoPete day, MSU prevails.
- Mayo170 says: Michigan State wins.
Penn State at Indiana
- Gamm says: Penn State gets back on track with a rare win at IU.
- Mayo170 says: Indiana.
Ohio State at Michigan
- Gamm says: Michigan might just be for real this year. Big wins over Duke and UCLA plus a strong Big Ten start say so. OSU is trying to find itself. Michigan 68 - Ohio State 64.
- Mayo170 says: Ohio State is a young team that I mentioned before I know nothing about. They are playing fairly well although I don’t know if they can stop a Michigan team that is putting together a nice season. Both teams appear to me to be solid middle-pack teams, with UM being a little higher on the ladder right now. Michigan wins 67 – 64.
Sunday
Iowa at Purdue
- Gamm says: Purdue keeps rolling.
- Mayo170 says: Purdue
Minnesota at Northwestern
- Gamm says: NU is going to pick more than one team off this year and catches Minny napping.
- Mayo170 says: Minnesota.
Monday, January 12, 2009
We're now well into basketball season in the Big Ten and some interesting things are happening. For starters, the league is a lot deeper than anyone - including me - thought it would be. It's really not a shock that some upsets are occurring on the road - they always do - but for Purdue to be 1-2 and already having faced a must-win (Sunday vs. Wisconsin)? Hang on, it will be a wild ride.
Get Gamm Football Recap
For the first time in ages, I won my own contest. Well, technically St. Louis Spartan - my roommate from college - tied me. But no one beat me, so no one gets to go shopping this time around! Thanks to all who played and made it a challenge.
Get Gamm Basketball Update
Mayo170 won the tiebreaker for last week and gets to pick with me this week. Mayo, games to give commentary on are in BOLD below.
Tuesday
Indiana @ Ohio State
Wednesday
Michigan State @ Penn State
Michigan @ Illinois
Thursday
Purdue @ Northwestern
Minnesota @ Wisconsin
Saturday
Illinois @ Michigan State
Penn State @ Indiana
Ohio State @ Michigan (tiebreaker)
Sunday
Iowa @ Purdue
Minnesota @ Northwestern
Monday, January 05, 2009
Back from my trip to the Capital One Bowl. Great time, even if the result for my Spartans wasn't optimum. It was, however, a right next step. PSU and OSU crushed MSU early in the season and the logical next step was to go toe-to-toe with a big boy. Who knows, if State converts early field position into TDs instead of FGs, maybe the upset happens. Either way, great memories for the entire family due to the endless autographs and photo opps that we got.
For those interested, I made some press over the holiday's too. The first was as a result of a search for the biggest Spartans fanatics. If I can find the email I sent the writer as to why I was one they should select, I'll post that here!
Biggest fan story in LSJ
A little pre-bowl game photo opp
Get Gamm Hoops style got started last week. I went 9-1 and the closest to me was 7-3. So here are the games for this week. Gotta beat me to write about the top games of the week! My picks in bold.
Tuesday
Ohio State @ Michigan State
Purdue @ Penn State
Wednesday
Michigan @ Indiana
Northwestern @ Wisconsin
Thursday
Minnesota @ Iowa
Friday
Houston Baptist @ Ohio State
Saturday
Kansas @ Michigan State
Indiana @ Illinois
Sunday
Iowa @ Michigan
Wisconsin @ Purdue (Tiebreaker) 63-61
Penn State @ Minnesota
Tuesday, December 23, 2008
Here is the official bowl slate. Picks are due before kickoff of the first game. Good luck. Merry Christmas and Happy New Year!
Note - don't miss at the bottom the first round of Get Gamm Basketball. Those games start on next week already too!
Champs Sports Bowl - Orlando, FL
December 27, 4:30pm
Wisconsin vs. Florida State
Gamm says ... The first in a slate of what should be seven good bowl games for the Big Ten this year. FSU is on the cusp of returning to the top of the ACC. Wisconsin had a highly disappointing campaign that included a mind-numbing loss to lowly Michigan and a gut-wrenching loss at Michigan State. Still, the season ended well and the Badgers are hungry to keep building for next year. I like Wisconsin in Florida bowl games... Wisconsin 24 - Florida State 20.
Buckeye Nation says ... A real "pick 'em" game between two teams who disappointed their fans this season. Something tells me that the Badgers pull this one out. Wisconsin 23 - Florida State 21
Alamo Bowl - San Antonio, TX
December 29, 8pm
Northwestern vs. Missouri
Gamm says ... I so want to pick the Wildcats in this one. NU had a fantastic season and rightfully deserved a better bowl slot than Iowa. But alas, that's business in the Big Ten. Vegas doesn't like Northwestern's chances at all, I am not as pessimistic. The NU defense is better than it is getting credit for and while Mizzou is good, a lot of folks are still basing their game thoughts on the pre Oklahoma State game Tigers. Missouri will win, but not by the wide margin some expect. Missouri 33 - Northwestern 30.
Buckeye Nation says ... This matchup is interesting. Mizzou is undoubtedly disappointed given the thinking at the beginning of the season that they were BCS Championship contenders with Chase Daniel at QB. Northwestern, on the other hand, exceeded expectations, even though they lost star RB Tyrell Sutton for the meat of the Big 10 schedule. The 'Cats aren't accustomed to this type of post-season revelry, but the Tigers are. Missouri 38 - Northwestern 27
Insight Bowl - Tempe, AZ
December 31, 6pm
Minnesota vs. Kansas
Gamm says ... Credit the Minnesota staff and players for a wonderful turnaround this season. This is a nice and just reward. Trouble is, Kansas is a lot better than a Golden Gophers team that was exposed an awful lot over the last few weeks of the season. I think Kansas cuts through this defense like a hot knife through butter. Kansas 41 - Minnesota 27.
Buckeye Nation says ... Both of these squads started out hot, but limped home to close out the season. Kansas however, rebounded in knocking off Mizzou, while the Gophers seemed to get worse with every game, concluding with a blow-out loss at home to archrival Iowa. The clock strikes midnight for the Gophers...as it did for the last month of the season. Kansas 41 - Minnesota 24
Outback Bowl - Tampa, FL
January 1, 11am
Iowa vs. South Carolina
Gamm says ... The one and only favorite - per Vegas - this Big Ten bowl season is Iowa. The Hawkeyes have the Penn State feather in their cap, and three of the team's losses game in a row in heartbreaking fashion. Iowa might have the most upside potential going forward but will all the hype get to Hawkeyes? I don't think so. South Carolina isn't a great SEC team, maybe not even a truly good one. Iowa wins and Greene rides off into the NFL... Iowa 27 - South Carolina 14.
Buckeye Nation says ... The Hawkeyes vs. the Gamecocks will be a great way to start a full day of bowl viewing. And in my view, the Big 10 fans will be smiling when it's all over in this one. Iowa 34 - South Carolina 26
Capital One Bowl - Orlando, FL
January 1, 1pm
Michigan State vs. Georgia
Gamm says ... So, the gurus are calling this one the rock solid lock of the bowl season. Georgia in a landslide. Well, in the immortal words of Lee Corso, not so fast my friend. UGA fell to this game. MSU aspired to it. The Bulldogs have been praised for their losses to Florida, Alabama and Georgia Tech. Ahem, last I checked Ohio State, Penn State and Cal were every bit in that neighborhood. That garbage aside, the running back show will be spectacular. And, we could be watching the future of the Detroit Lions (Matthew Stafford) at the helm of the dawgs. I think State has more to prove and more to play for. Have a 2000 Citrus Bowl flashback... Michigan State 34 - Georgia 31 on a late field goal.
Buckeye Nation says ... Speaking of disappointing seasons, the Dawgs thought they were headed to Miami when the season opened up, but had to settle for Orlando as a consolation prize. The Spartans on the other hand exceeded expectations by being in the hunt for a share of the Big 10 title until the final day of the season. Dantonio has the Spartans headed in the right direction, but they're not there just yet. While I'd like to see Andy smile, I don't think he will be after this one. Georgia 42 - Michigan State 17.
Rose Bowl - Pasadena, CA
January 1, 5pm
Penn State vs. USC (TIEBREAKER)
Gamm says ... In my book, this one is as good as the national title game. Both were uncanny road slip ups away. Both teams are stocked with NFL talent. USC might be bored playing in, ho-hum, another Rose Bowl. Penn State is hungry to show it is worthy of the national title talk that existed up until that Iowa loss. I'm looking for a classic, but in the end, SC has too much. USC 23 - Penn State 21.
Buckeye Nation says ... Two teams that could have been undefeated but for one slip-up, marks this year's Grandaddy-of-them-all matchup. I'd love to see the Lions do it, but the Trojans get the home field advantage, and the win. USC 38 - Penn State 13
Fiesta Bowl - Glendale, AZ
January 5, 8pm
Ohio State vs. Texas
Gamm says ... On one hand, you have an Ohio State team tired of hearing how it gets killed whenever the spotlight shines. On the other you have one pissed off set of Longhorns, screwed by the system that inexplicably doesn't take into account head-to-head. Now, Oklahoma might well be the best team in the land, but Texas has something to prove. Ohio State might have a bit more talent, but Texas is a play away from playing for something even bigger. Texas 20 - Ohio State 16
Buckeye Nation says ... Probably the third best bowl matchup on the entire slate after the BCS Championship game and the Rose Bowl. The Buckeyes are very familiar with Phoenix, having played there 4 out of the past 6 years, but the last time in Arizona was a clunker. Texas has never faced a defense like OSU's, on the other hand, OSU has not seen an offense quite like Texas's offense. The Longhorns are smarting from not making the BCS title game, in spite of beating Oklahoma, and Colt McCoy finished 2nd in the Heisman voting. They will finish second here as well. Texas thinks they are playing in the wrong game, and the Buckeyes are looking for redemption. Look for the Buckeyes to finally give the conference the respect it deserves. Ohio State 28 - Texas 23.
Get Gamm Basketball (my picks in bold, score only needed for MSU - Minnesota):
12/30/08
Illinois @ Purdue
12/31/08
Michigan State @ Minnesota (MSU 64 - Minnesota 63)
Northwestern @ Penn State
Wisconsin @ Michigan
Iowa @ Ohio State
01/03/09
Ohio State @ Minnesota
Penn State @ Wisconsin
Indiana @ Iowa
Michigan State @ Northwestern
01/04/09
Illinois @ Michigan
Monday, December 15, 2008
Well, life continues to be busy, but I've finally found a gap to get back to what I love... talking Big Ten football and hoops.
In the few weeks since I last posted, the Big Ten gave its best run ever at the ACC-Big Ten Challenge. If only Iowa could make a free throw, or Illinois a late stop, the Big Ten would finally, finally, be able to shake that ACC twow-on guerrilla off its back. We also saw the mighty - Purdue and Michigan State - get soundly thumped by the leaders of the ACC. Hey, the way I look at it is simple - November and December games are fun and all, but talk to me in March, when it matters.
Other than the Challenge there have been some nice games so far. Ohio State has a few solid wins to its credit. So does Michigan. Might the basketball team help ease the pain for all the Michigan football fans still licking their 3-9 wounds? The top tier teams will still make this a two or three horse race, but the middle of the pack will provide some defining moments come January and February...
Over the same time frame, the Big Ten football awards were released. The bowl selections made. Some national hardware passed out. So much to weigh in on...
No real qualms with any of what the coaches or media selected in terms of the Big Ten awards, with one exception: Mark Dantonio and/or Pat Fitzgerald deserved the Coach of the Year honors over Joe Paterno. If it were "Staff of the Year", then give it to Penn State, but you won't convince me that JoePa had as much impact on that team as Dantonio or Fitzgerald who made decent teams look very, very good. Paterno's team was loaded from the get-go.
The bowl games shook out as expected. Despite being the underdog in six of the seven match-ups, I like the Big Ten to fare just fine this postseason. More on that next week when I post my picks (Buckeye Nation, get me yours by THIS Thursday please).
Congrats to those who grabbed some national award coverage as well. Shonn Greene deserved the Doak Walker. Javon Ringer deserved All America honors. The Big Ten gets the shaft from the national media but watch a handful of NFL games each weekend and count the Big Ten starters on each roster. You can have your conferences, I love the Big Ten.
As for the national picture - Texas got screwed, even if Oklahoma is playing better right now. And the Heisman gets no complaints here. Could have been any of the three. I question, is it "best player", "MVP", or "best player on the best team"? All three give you a different winner in my book...
For those who want to weigh in now, here is the bowl slate. Picks are due before kickoff of the first game. Good luck. Merry Christmas and Happy New Year!
Champs Sports Bowl - Orlando, FL
December 27, 4:30pm
Wisconsin vs. Florida State
Alamo Bowl - San Antonio, TX
December 29, 8pm
Northwestern vs. Missouri
Insight Bowl - Tempe, AZ
December 31, 6pm
Minnesota vs. Kansas
Outback Bowl - Tampa, FL
January 1, 11am
Iowa vs. South Carolina
Capital One Bowl - Orlando, FL
January 1, 1pm
Michigan State vs. Georgia
Rose Bowl - Pasadena, CA
January 1, 5pm
Penn State vs. USC
Fiesta Bowl - Glendale, AZ
January 5, 8pm
Ohio State vs. Texas
Tuesday, November 25, 2008
Anyone who knows me or who has followed my former web site and now blog knows where my true sports love lies. College basketball. I love the game. Can't get enough of it. I just wish I had the time to devote to my previews for hoops that I do for football. But alas, it's all about timing and with football just slowing down and work busy, there just isn't the time to go as in-depth as I'd prefer.
That said, I did, as always, take the time to study each team, review their schedules, predict the entire Big Ten season, and for that matter, the entire season for each team in the greatest conference around. So, what follows is a snapshot of what I'd love to ramble on and on and on about but don't have the time for.
I expect a great divide between the good and the bad with a little bit of mediocrity sprinkled in between. Not unlike the football side of things, there are just a handful of programs that will vie for a title in basketball. Granted, I did these picks BEFORE the season started, so I may already be in for some flak (Michigan comes to mind) but hey, I just got around to posting this!
Predictions:
T1 - Purdue Boilermakers
OOC Projection: 12-1
Big Ten Projection: 16-2
Big Ten Tourney: Semi-finalist
Postseason: NCAA Tournament - Elite 8
Total Record: 32-5
Comments: This team is flat out loaded and yet still young. The brand of basketball being played under Matt Painter makes Purdue a threat to run all the way to Motown.
T1 - Michigan State Spartans
OOC Projection: 9-3
Big Ten Projection: 16-2
Big Ten Tourney: Champs
Postseason: NCAA Tournament - Elite 8
Total Record: 31-6
Comments: This is as deep as Michigan State has ever been. The key will be the way all the pieces and parts come together. There is youth and experience, speed and talent, size and speed. Can that translate into a dream run to Ford Field and the Final Four?
3 - Wisconsin Badgers
OOC Projection: 9-3
Big Ten Projection: 14-4
Big Ten Tourney: Semi-finalist
Postseason: NCAA Tournament - 2nd Round
Total Record: 25-9
Comments: This team lost some talent, but when don't Bo Ryan teams reload? I fully expect the Badgers to be in the thick of the Big Ten race with eyes on making a deeper advancement in the tournament than has been the norm under Ryan.
4 - Ohio State Buckeyes
OOC Projection: 9-2
Big Ten Projection: 12-6
Big Ten Tourney: Finalist
Postseason: NCAA Tournament - 2nd Round
Total Record: 24-10
Comments: Another contender that has to reload. Ohio State brings in another monster big man with potential and is really young again. This team will be much better in March than it is in November.
5 - Minnesota Golden Gophers
OOC Projection: 11-1
Big Ten Projection: 8-10
Big Ten Tourney: Quarterfinals
Postseason: NIT Final 4
Total Record: 22-12
Comments: Tubby Smith is already starting to work wonders in Minneapolis. The Gophers should make noise and a run at a tourney berth, but will have to settle for a run to MSG instead.
T6 - Penn State Nittany Lions
OOC Projection: 9-4
Big Ten Projection: 7-11
Big Ten Tourney: Quarterfinals
Postseason: NIT Final 4
Total Record: 20-17
Comments: Is this the year that the hard luck Nits finally get it going? Maybe not when it comes to an NCAA bid, but it will settle - gladly - for a nice run to MSG and an NIT Final 4.
T6 - Illinois Fighting Illini
OOC Projection: 13-1
Big Ten Projection: 7-11
Big Ten Tourney: Quarterfinals
Postseason: NIT - 2nd Round
Total Record: 22-13
Comments: I think of the middle-of-the-pack teams that Illinois has the most upside potential. The record might even be good enough for a trip to the Big Dance, but there is not a lot in the way of chances to impress with a so-so OOC slate.
T8 - Michigan Wolverines
OOC Projection: 9-4
Big Ten Projection: 6-12
Big Ten Tourney: 1st Round
Postseason: None
Total Record: 15-16
Comments: Hindsight is 20-20 - right? That makes me think this will be the pick I am most off base on. The win over UCLA was impressive but Michigan just isn't there... not yet. 2009-2010 is the year to watch out for the Wolverines.
T8 - Northwestern Wildcats
OOC Projection: 7-4
Big Ten Projection: 6-12
Big Ten Tourney: Quarterfinals
Postseason: None
Total Record: 14-17
Comments: Another intriguing team. Northwestern has experience and can shoot the long ball. Will this be the breakthrough year Carmody and Co. have been waiting for?
10 - Iowa Hawkeyes
OOC Projection: 8-5
Big Ten Projection: 5-13
Big Ten Tourney: 1st Round
Postseason: None
Total Record: 13-18
Comments: Simply a case of not enough horses in the barn. Iowa may pull off an upset or two but will reside in the basement most of the season.
11 - Indiana Hoosiers
OOC Projection: 7-5
Big Ten Projection: 2-16
Big Ten Tourney: 1st Round
Postseason: None
Total Record: 9-22
Comments: Nope, not a misprint. Indiana is going to really struggle this year. But don't get used to this. Tom Crean will make unbelievable strides with this team and set himself up for a fantastic turnaround in 2009-2010.
All Big Ten Team:
Kalin Lucas- G, Michigan State
Manny Harris - G, Michigan
Raymar Morgan - F, Michigan State
Marcus Landry - F, Wisconsin
Robbie Hummel - F, Purdue
Player of the Year:
Robbie Hummel - F, Purdue
Coach of the Year:
Matt Painter - Purdue
Monday, November 24, 2008
As I look out the window at millions of tiny snowflakes that are starting to pile up and soon wreak traveling havoc, I am still in a daze over how fast the Big Ten football season flew by. Maybe it was because - for a change - I wasn't wishing it to end, since my alma mater came through with a stellar campaign. Maybe it's because I'm just so busy all the time (I know, I still owe my bball previews). Regardless, the regular season is over and now the waiting game begins.
Who goes where? Does OSU slide into a BCS game and move everyone up a notch? Does any leap-frogging take place? For the record, it shouldn't. Bowls should flat out be required to take teams in the order of finish. I know, that's not realistic with the money involved, but then why not just make a tournament instead?
For my last football piece in a while, I want to go team by team, give you my postseason awards, my bowl projections and general thoughts on the season that was. After that, I'll get to basketball, we'll have our last football Get Gamm of the year - bowl style - and then we'll slide full time into hoops. Note, we will NOT pick the Big Ten/ACC Challenge this year - too little time! Get Gamm Hoops will start when Big Ten play tips off in late December.
Back to the last Get Gamm for gridiron, several went 6-0 this week, but Buckeye Nation was closer on the margin in the PSU-MSU game, so BN, you're in the spotlight for the bowl picks...
Player of the Week
There are a lot of good choices for POTW this go around. Shonn Greene was a beast - again. Daryll Clark was a phenom (damn the columnist from State College who questioned if his head was right!). Greg Jones had 15 tackles, three for loss. Curtis Painter had the type of game we've been waiting for all season long. In the end, I have to go with the guy who led his team to a Big Ten title - Daryl Clark. A career day for the junior, proving Penn State a worthy champion.
Team by Team
Time for a quick synopsis for each team, including a look at how my predictions played out and what is left for 2008 before the books are officially closed...
Illinois Fighting Illini - The Illini were a dud a year after stunning everyone with a run to the Roses. Just goes to show you what losing a top-notch tailback can do to a team without much of note in the cupboard behind him. It was all on Juice this year and his supporting cast let him down. Illinois failed to ride the wave of momentum created last year and will have plenty of questions heading into 2009. Most pressing? Was 2007 a true one-hit wonder?
Prediction: 9-3 (5-3), T2 and a Capital One Bowl berth
Actual: 5-7 (3-5), T6 and home for the Holiday's
My grade: Missed it by four games overall, two games in conference. D.
Indiana Hoosiers - Indiana never bounced back after that crushing home defeat at the hands of Ball State. The absence of Kellen Lewis all spring seemed to carry over into the fall, and his bouts with a bad ankle didn't help either. Speaking of injuries, there might not be a team in the country as hard hit as the Hoosiers. The emotion that carried IU in 2007 disappeared this year. Can Bill Lynch get it back and make Indiana competitive again in 2009? He probably needs to in order to save his job.
Prediction: 7-5 (3-5), T7 and a Motor City Bowl berth
Actual: 3-9 (1-7), 11 and home for the Holiday's
My grade: Missed it by four games overall, two games in conference. D.
Iowa Hawkeyes - Iowa really came on like gangbusters after an early season slump. In total, the Hawkeyes lost four games by 12 points, beat Penn State and crushed rivals Wisconsin and Minnesota. The loss to Illinois stands out as the only real head-scratcher. The team is set up to contend in 2009 for sure - IF Shonn Greene comes back. Greene was a monster and also the definition of consistency with 12 games in a row over 100 yards rushing. The defense was excellent and the finish puts Iowa in position to possibly jump ahead of a few teams when the bowl bids come calling. I think Iowa goes to the Champs Bowl in Orlando and challenges the attendance record that MSU fans helped set a season ago.
Prediction: 5-7 (2-6), T9 and home for the Holiday's
Actual: 8-4 (5-3), T4 with the bowl berth TBD
My grade: Missed it by three games on both ends. D.
Michigan Wolverines - No one saw this coming. A slight step back while the program adjusted to its first coach out of the Bo Schembechler school of coaches - sure. But this? Michigan put up its worst season in 129 years of football. Rich Rodriguez became the first U-M coach since Harry Kipke in the 40s to not beat OSU in his first try. The Wolverines lost to Notre Dame, Michigan State and Ohio State in the same year for the first time since 1987. It was ugly from the very beginning to the bitter end. The question is, will it get that much better in 2009? Rich Rod has a history of quick turnarounds, but I wonder if he'll have the horses yet...
Prediction: 7-5 (3-5), T7 and a Champs Bowl berth
Actual: 3-9 (2-6), T9 and the worst season in school history.
My grade: Missed it by four games overall, but only one in the conference. D.
Michigan State Spartans - While blowout losses in huge games against Ohio State and Penn State wounded this team, no one expected nine wins. Most, in fact, expected a step back. Mark Dantonio has this program heading in the right direction. The attitude is as strong as it has ever been. The understanding of what it takes to win and the will to do so with backs against the wall is there. The only thing missing can start to filter in now that the staff has shown such quick results - top-notch recruits. If Dantonio and Co. can win with decent talent, imagine what it can do when it has some horses? A bowl berth to the Capital One or Outback is at stake. I think MSU lands in the Outback Bowl, and gets a huge 10th win of the season in the process.
Prediction: 8-4 (5-3), T2 and an Outback Bowl berth
Actual: 9-3 (6-2), 3 with a bowl berth TBD.
My grade: The only one I got wrong was the predicted loss at NU. A-/B+.
Minnesota Golden Gophers - The pleasant surprise of the season. From 1-11 to 7-5 with the all important extra practice time that comes with a bowl berth in their pocket, Minnesota made a big statement this year. This is a young team that hit some bumps after a 7-1 start, but that is still poised to make continued strides. Next year brings a new stadium, another solid recruiting class and another year of experience. Who knows, the Gophers could make a 2007 Illini type run in '09. As for the bowl berth, it all depends on Ohio State. If the Bucks get an at-large BCS berth, the Insight Bowl becomes the destination. I'm not seeing that though, meaning Minnesota gets one more game in a dome this season (Motor City Bowl).
Prediction: 4-8 (2-6), T9 and home for the Holiday's
Actual: 7-5 (3-5), T6 and a bowl berth TBD.
My grade: Three games off overall, one game in conference. C.
Northwestern Wildcats - Another team that made great strides this season. Northwestern made a three game improvement and brought a big game atmosphere back to Evanston on more than one occasion. Wipe out a head-scratching loss at Indiana and the 'cats tie for third and get ten wins. The last few weeks were a battle, with a dinged QB and a third-string tailback thrust into action but the Wildcats found a way to get it done. Northwestern can aspire as high as the Outback Bowl this year, as low as the Champs, but given the win over Iowa and one more win than the Hawkeyes, I like the 'cats to head to the Alamo Bowl.
Prediction: 6-6 (2-6), T9 and an at-large bowl berth
Actual: 9-3 (5-3), T4 and a berth TBD.
My grade: Off by three games all the way around. C.
Ohio State Buckeyes - Well, the third time will not be the charm for Ohio State so a co Big Ten title will have to do. Ohio State sold the current season for the future when it benched Todd Boeckman early on and went with freshman phenom Tyrelle Pryor. That may pay off big time down the road. Ohio State had a very good season, even if it is a downer a year removed from another blown shot at a national championship. 2008 should set the scarlet and gray up for another dominant run in '09 and in the meantime, it will include another trip someplace warm and fun for New Year's. The Buckeyes still can manage an at-large BCS berth, but alot depends on Oregon State and Boise State. If Oregon State wins next week, USC likely bumps the Bucks out. Even then, the lure of a Boise State - Utah "second" title game could also keep OSU out of the BCS mix. My feeling? The Buckeyes get a solid match-up with Georgia in the Capital One Bowl.
Prediction: 11-1 (8-0), 1 - BCS Championship Game berth
Actual: 10-2 (7-1), T1 - bowl berth TBD
My grade: One game off all the way around. A-/B+.
Penn State Nittany Lions - Congratulations to the Big Ten champs and Rose Bowl rep. This season will boil down to one great big coulda, shoulda, woulda. That Iowa loss. I think Penn State was built the right way to challenge for the national title. Strength in all three phases of the game. Solid athletes all around. I'm still not sold that Penn State wouldn't win a four game team tournament and claim the national title. But alas, we'll never know. That's the brutality of college football. It is basically one and done. Still, the Nits should get a good game in Pasadena and have a legit shot at finishing as high as top 3 in the nation. Long live JoePa!
Prediction: 9-3 (5-3), T2 - BCS at-large bowl berth
Actual: 11-1 (7-1), T1 - Rose Bowl berth
My Grade: Missed them by two games on both ends. B.
Purdue Boilermakers - Along with Michigan, probably the biggest disappointment in the league. Coach Tiller's swan song was entirely forgettable - up until the systematic dismantling of rival Indiana. The loss to Oregon sent the old gold into a tailspin that it never recovered from. The shame of it is, Purdue had some pretty good talent. There will be some rebuilding to do and with a new coach, so time will tell how much Tiller will be missed in West Lafayette.
Prediction: 7-5 (4-4), 6 - Insight Bowl berth
Actual: 4-8 (2-6), T9 - home for the Holiday's
My Grade: Missed them by three games overall and two in conference. C.
Wisconsin Badgers - Maybe the biggest dud of them all, not because the Badgers fell flat and missed out on anything, but because after a hot start, this was a team that lost every big game it played and found ways to lose games in myriad ways. It took a wayward kicker for the Badgers to beat a 1-AA foe over the weekend too. Given how the Bielema era has flattened out after a white hot start, it might be time to start shopping for new coordinators. Still, UW managed a bowl berth and that will pay dividends heading into 2009. The win over Cal Poly kept Wisconsin out of Motown for the Holiday's and moved them to the Insight Bowl.
Prediction: 8-4 (5-3), T2 - Alamo Bowl berth
Actual: 7-5 (3-5), T6 - bowl berth TBD
My Grade: Off by only one game overall but two games in conference. B.
Gamm's Postseason Awards
Offensive Player of the Year - Shonn Greene, TB, Iowa
Defensive Player of the Year - James Laurinaitis, LB, Ohio State
Coach of the Year - Mark Dantonio
Friday, November 21, 2008
Can you believe that we are already to the last week of regular season play in the Big Ten? Amazing how time flies. At least when you have a team you are rooting for that is doing well (sorry Michigan, Indiana and Purdue fans)...
This week, Buckeye Nation and AndrewJ1313 will pick with me. Fitting since between the three of us, we're all vying for a piece of the Big Ten crown. Oh and for the record, I will NOT be rooting for Michigan this weekend. Yep, it helps State, but in my book, if we tie with the Bucks, so be it. They beat us soundly and would deserve the Rose Bowl berth. That said, if M pulls off the shocker of the year and State beats PSU, I'm not going to turn down Pasadena!
For those who want to try to get to Pasadena regardless of who is playing, Comcast sent me this link to promote a sweepstakes...
Battle for the Old Oaken Bucket
Indiana at Purdue - This is the end of the road for the Hoosiers and Boilermakers, no matter the outcome. It is also the end of a long road for Boiler boss Joe Tiller. Both teams have been disappointing this season, but Purdue has been the bigger bust. This is just the second time a Tiller team won't go bowling and given the talent PU had coming back, this is a bitter pill to swallow. Indiana failed this season due to a rash of injuries. So, toss all of it out the window for this game. It will be a fierce battle in what should be cold, maybe snowy conditions. Not much has gone right for the old gold and black, until now. Purdue 31 - Indiana 17.
Buckeye Nation says - The annual clash for the Old Oaken Bucket has one of the coaches making his swan song at home. The season wasn't what Joe Tiller or Boiler fans were expecting by any stretch of the imagination. The Hoosiers showed a little spark early on, but the loss to Ball State began a string of losses that left Indiana spiraling out of bowl contention once again.
Look for the Boilers to end on a winning note, sending Joe Tiller out with a smile on his face. INDIANA 23 - PURDUE 31
AndrewJ1313 says - IU-PU, that pretty much sums up this game. Tiller's last hurrah was a forgettable one for everyone involved. True the Purdue program saw major improvement during Tiller's tenure, but has really gone stagnant since Brees left. Indiana, the feel good story of a year ago, was brought back to reality this year and it's a shame. This year’s version of the Indiana/Purdue game is for last place in the Big Ten. Both teams are win-less on the road and I think that continues this week...at least Tiller can say he went 4-3 at home in his last season and leave Ross-Ade on a high note.Purdue 32, Indiana 26
The "Big" Game
Michigan at Ohio State - For the first time in a very long time, this game has very little say in any race - conference or national. Yes, OSU is in line to smell the Roses with a win and a Penn State loss but Michigan, well they're in line for nothing having already clinched the worst season in school history. Ohio State is favored by what has to be one of the largest margins in the history of the rivalry. Michigan is dinged up with nothing to play for but pride. One thing on Rich Rodriguez's side? First year Wolverines coaches are 10-1-1 all time versus OSU including nine wins in a row. That won't be enough for Michigan this time. It could be ugly. Ohio State 24 - Michigan 6.
Buckeye Nation says - THE GAME has never seen this before: an 8 loss, no bowl eligible Wolverine squad heading to the Horseshoe for the 105th meeting in what many call the Greatest Rivalry in sports. The Buckeyes' dream season of going back-to-back-to-back to the BCS National Championship game was shattered in the Coliseum in September, and sealed when they lost to Penn State in the rare night game in Columbus in late October. The Buckeyes have been generally solid on defense this season, and are beginning to put it together on offense with freshman phenom Terrelle Pryor and the smash-mouth, leaping runs of Beanie Wells. Michigan, on the other hand, is hurting at QB and is enduring their worst season ever under controversial coach Rich Rodriguez. Usually, this one is where you throw out all the record books. Not this year. This will be senior day in Columbus, and a frenzied scarlet & grey crowd will have no problem getting fired up for this one, with memories of John Cooper Michigan game foibles still fresh in most Buckeye fans' heads. This one may be close early, but look for the Buckeyes to wear the Wolverines down and then cruise to a big victory, which would be Jim Tressel's 7th over UM in 8 tries. MICHIGAN 10 - OHIO STATE 42
AndrewJ1313 says - I think everyone has heard by now that Michigan is not that good. I know everyone says to “throw out the records, its Michigan vs. Ohio State” but I’m not sure that holds true this year. This is officially the worst Michigan football team in HISTORY. 129 years of playing the sport and this year, RichRod’s first, is Michigan’s worst. The point spread is 20.5 points, but if I were a betting man, I’d take Michigan to cover. If you look at the history of this game, anytime Ohio State has given Michigan a beating the following year, Michigan returns the favor in either destroying Ohio State or upsetting them – Tressel is very much aware of this I’m sure, so beating Michigan by 20.5 points isn’t likely, it’s very possible, but not likely. The question will be, will Ohio State not score at will. I think Pryor is hungry to play in this game, Beanie wants the ball 30 times and the seniors on Defense don’t want to give up anything, so Michigan has to play out of their minds and OSU has to suck something awful for Michigan to win. I heard an interesting stat on the radio today: current Michigan Freshmen now have more losses in their college football career then the 4th year seniors at Ohio State. After Saturday, RichRod’s first year will have nine losses.OSU 32, Michigan 17
Cal Poly at Wisconsin - Think the Badgers are already looking at airline reservations to Tempe, San Antonio or Orlando? Think again. Cal Poly might be from the FCS (formerly 1-AA) side of the tracks, but the Mustangs rank third in the nation among FCS squads and have already picked off one FBS school (San Diego State). Also, does Appalachian State over Michigan ring a bell? The Badgers bounced back with a HUGE comeback win last weekend and need this victory to assure a bowl berth. It won't be easy but in the cold and snow, I expect the Badgers to push a good team from Cal Poly out of the picture by the 4th quarter... Wisconsin 30 - Cal Poly 20.
Buckeye Nation says - The Badgers have been the enigma in the Big 10 this season. Once you think you have them figured out, they do something crazy, like win when they shouldn't, and lose when they had a victory seemingly tucked away. After the big comeback against the Gophers and winning the Paul Bunyan Axe, the Badgers get a test from a Mustang squad that is better than most people realize. However, Cal Poly has never seen Big 10 football, and the weather and Badger fans in Madison will have them longing for the trip back home to California. CAL POLY 10 - WISCONSIN 38
AndrewJ1313 says - Starting your season against Cal Poly as a tune up game is one thing, but to end your season against Cal Poly? This would be about as boring as watching OSU finish their season against YSU (although this year Michigan is the equivalent). Wisconsin does nothing to boost their bowl game with a win but may find itself not selected for a bowl if it loses. In a season where Wisconsin was suppose to be the team to challenge OSU for the conference title, Wisconsin gets to 7-5.Wisconsin 48, Cal Poly 17
Battle for The Sweet Sioux Tomahawk Trophy
Illinois at Northwestern - My how the tables can turn from one season to the next. Last year, the Wildcats were on the road and the ropes, needing a win to secure a bowl berth. Illinois was 8-3 and seeking to get to 9-3 with the scent of Roses lingering in the air. This year? Illinois is 5-6 and needs a win and some help to go bowling. Northwestern is 8-3 with its sights on 9-3 and a shot at a New Year's Day bowl berth. Illinois has been more up and down than the Tower of Terror at Disney's Hollywood Studios this season. Northwestern has yet to beat a "better" team in conference play. Will the Illini throw caution to the wind and fight out a win? Or will NU shut the door early and start dreaming of a sun New Year's Day? This is the Wildcats' year... Northwestern 33 - Illinois 27 in OT.
Buckeye Nation says - The Wilcats are in a bowl regardless, but the Illini must win on Saturday in order to become bowl eligible. Northwestern is coming off a huge program win at Ann Arbor, whereas Illinois suffered another loss, this time at home on senior day, one year after their Rose Bowl season. The Illini are in a bit of disarray and "the Journey" has been nothing but hype and dashed hopes; Juice has been turning the ball over, and was benched in the 4th quarter against OSU until his backup got injured. Look for the Wildcats to pull off the win in Evanston that will be satisfying to them, especially in denying the hated Illini a bowl bid. ILLINOIS 24 - NORTHWESTERN 28
AndrewJ1313 says - This should be a great game as Northwestern is playing for its 9th win and a New Year’s Day Bowl, while Illinois is trying to get to bowl eligibility. The question for Zook and the Illini this week will be, is there a controversy at QB? Last week against OSU Juice was pulled for a few series before returning to the game to lead Illinois to a late score – does that mean anything? Time will tell. Northwestern appears to be the more complete team but Illinois has played well on the road this year, although their road record doesn’t reflect it (@ Missouri to start the season, @ Penn St and @ Wisconsin all very tough places to win on the road). Logic says take the team that is 4-2 at home and not the team that is 1-4 on the road, but I think Illinois has faced tougher competition on the road this year then Northwestern has beaten at home. Illinois 38, Northwestern 33
The Battle for the Land Grant Trophy
Michigan State at Penn State - Okay, so the rivalry was contrived when Penn State joined the Big Ten back in the early 90s, but it has provided some memorable moments along the way. This is, however, the first time that the game upstages Michigan-Ohio State in terms of importance and worthiness of viewership. Penn State might have killed Indiana last week, but is led by a QB who is second-guessing himself right now. Michigan State comes off what could be a momentum-killing BYE week or the best thing to happen to a program that was really stung by injuries. This game is for the Big Ten title. Penn State wins and they go to Pasadena. Michigan State needs some help from bitter rival Michigan if it wins but would gladly take the accolades that go with winning or sharing their first title in 18 years. Penn State leads or is close to the top in every statistical category that matters. No team in the league has shown as much heart as the Spartans. Which one prevails? It will be better than Vegas thinks... Penn State 31 - Michigan State 27.
Buckeye Nation says - Mark Dantonio is in good shape to be named Big 10 coach-of-the-year given the way he has turned things around in East Lansing. This time, the Spartans won games late in the season instead of fizzling out as has been the case in recent years. The Lions were on an even bigger roll, and Joe Pa was looking at a possible last hurrah and a BCS Championship game berth until they began reading their press clippings, and thought all was clear after barely winning in Columbus. The Hawkeyes knocked over the lofty dreams of the Nittany Lions, but there is a Rose Bowl at stake this Saturday as well as the Land Grant trophy. The Spartans will likely not go to the Rose Bowl (unless the unthinkable happens in Columbus), and even then, they would have to pull off a HUGE upset in Happy Valley. Both teams have had revival seasons, but the big edge here goes to the home team. MSU 17 - PSU 38
AndrewJ1313 says - Someone should tell Dantonio that MSU is suppose to be the “Little Sister” in Michigan. I liked the hire of Dantonio the day I heard about it and this is why – he has done what JLS never could; win games late in the season. MSU is 9-2, and has looked impressive doing it. The question is, did MSU’s loss to OSU tell how large the gap is from the upper tier teams in the Big Ten or did MSU have an off week? If the answer is the former, this will not be as good of a game as it looks to be – I don’t think this will be the case. I think Dantonio and MSU are ready for the spot light and will be ready to take it to Penn St. The problem is Penn St. is a great football team that plays its best in Happy Valley. The Lions can smell the Roses (unfortunately for them, they may be facing a team they already humiliated once this year – Oregon St.) and just need to stay focused for 60 minutes. Just like against OSU and Iowa, this game will go down to the wire for Penn St., but I think they get it done, although I will not be surprised if MSU pulls the upset. Penn St. 20, MSU 13
The Battle for the Floyd of Rosedale Trophy
Iowa at Minnesota - This game is about more than just a rivalry, it is all about bowl positioning. Minnesota blew a big opportunity with the second half collapse at Wisconsin last weekend. Iowa is very much in line to battle Northwestern for a New Year's Day bowl berth - if the Big Ten gets two teams in the BCS picture. The Golden Gophers will have Eric Decker back, but Iowa has Shonn Greene, who, combined with Beanie Wells and Javon Ringer forms the best tailback trio in the land. Minnesota will throw everything it has at Iowa, but the Hawkeyes are too strong in the trenches. Iowa 27 - Minnesota 18
Buckeye Nation says - This year's battle for Floyd of Rosedale has both participants heading to bowl games after the season. However, as of late, the two are heading in different directions, Iowa is on the rise, and the Gophers are on the decline, and now the Gophers' leading receiver is doubtful for Saturday. This also marks the final home game for the Gophers in the Metrodome, a Lou Holtz-inspired idea that Minnesota alums have regretted ever since. Nevertheless, I see the Hawkeyes continuing their winning ways in a tough hitting contest, as they keep the pig in Iowa City. IOWA 26 - MINNESOTA 23
AndrewJ1313 says - Which one gets the better bowl game? That is what this game will resolve and it seems like Minnesota may have peaked weeks ago – the Gophers just haven’t been able to get their mojo back since the heart-breaker to Northwestern. They played very inspired ball last week at Wisconsin, but failed to play a full 60 minutes and just let Wisconsin have their way with them in the 4th quarter. Iowa on the other hand has been playing with some swagger, winning four of their last five including the knocking off then unbeaten Penn State. Iowa’s four losses are by a combined 12 points and I think this team is much better than their road record and are headed to the Outback Bowl. Iowa 20, Minnesota 16
Tuesday, November 18, 2008
Back from a needed respite in the warmth of Florida, ready for a Big Ten championship weekend. There are now seven teams eligible to extend their seasons with one more in the mix - Illinois. There are three teams tied at the top with one solely in control of its destiny - Penn State.
Just as the conference race has come to a crescendo, so is the Get Gamm race. Dan has made a nice move of late to tie me at the top. St. Louie and Buckeye Nation are right behind. Who knows, had Andrew not missed a week, he might be right there too. Speaking of the latter pair, you both get to pick with me this week, so send those my way by Friday.
Player of the Week... I was out of Big Ten country but well aware of what went on around the Big Ten this weekend. Shonn Greene had another monster weekend and locked up, in my book, the second first team spot at running back with Javon Ringer. In my estimation, both should be finalists for the Doak Walker. Greene is also my hands down POTW for his 211 yards, 2 scores and now 11-straight games over the century mark.
Around the Big Ten... Penn State and Ohio State got big wins to set up the final weekend. Wisconsin got a critical comeback, rivalry game win and should have no trouble finding its way to a bowl game unless it gets beat at home by Cal Poly. Iowa made strides towards grabbing the fourth best bowl slot in the Big Ten with a win over Purdue. Northwestern withstood the weather and Michigan and could get to nine wins. Minnesota is reeling but gets another crack at a rival. Illinois must win at Northwestern and hope enough slots open up to get an invite. No small task.
Penn State - It seems that Daryll Clark might be having some issues with his head (not due to the hit at OSU). How will that play into what is a HUGE game in Happy Valley this weekend? It is Senior Day. Penn State can win the Big Ten title and still stay (although not realistically) in the national title hunt. We'll see if the team is fully recovered from that gut-wrenching loss to Iowa or not. PSU is playing for the Rose Bowl, an at-large BCS berth, or worst case, the Capital One Bowl.
Michigan State - How will the week off affect the Spartans? Will the down time, and limited practice during the first week allow some rust to build and slow the momentum, or was it exactly what the team needed to refill the tank and finish this improbable run at a Big Ten title? State certainly needed the time to heal the wounds, the key will be to avoid any timing issues early at State College - a place where MSU has been close but hasn't won since 1965. MSU is playing for the Rose Bowl, an at-large BCS berth (long shot), the Capital One or Outback Bowl.
Ohio State - The Buckeyes are on a mission. Since the loss to Penn State, OSU has been firing on all cylinders and has a wounded, horrible Michigan team coming to town. OSU will look to avoid the same fate it faced in first meetings against Fritz, Bennie, Bump, Bo, Mo and Lloyd - that is a loss to Michigan. Chances are slim to none this year, but hey, strange things happen in these rivalry games, especially because this is U-M's bowl game. OSU is playing for the Rose Bowl, an at-large BCS berth or the Capital One Bowl.
Northwestern - Pat Fitzgerald has worked wonders with the Wildcats this year. After locking up a rare win at Michigan, the 'cats get to come home for a chance to officially send Illinois home without a bowl game. Despite injuries and setbacks against the better teams it has faced, NU is on track for nine wins - something that doesn't happen that often in Evanston. This weekend, it is all about a rivalry win and bowl positioning. NU is playing for the Outback Bowl, Alamo Bowl, or Champs Bowl.
Iowa - The Hawkeyes may look back at this season and wonder "what if". As in what if they'd closed the deal in those four games lost by a total of 12 points? The Hawkeyes travel to Minnesota to battle for the big pig - Floyd of Rosedale - and are fighting for optimum bowl position. A win could shoot the black and gold as high as the Outback Bowl, though more likely somewhere before New Year's. Iowa is playing for the Outback Bowl, Alamo Bowl or Champs Bowl.
Minnesota - The Golden Gophers are officially slumping. Three straight losses have marred an otherwise brilliant year. The last one was particularly painful but there is one more shot at re-taking a rivalry prize. The Gophers are playing for bowl positioning though seem pretty locked into one of the lower bowl spots at this point. Minnesota is playing for the Alamo Bowl, Champs Bowl, Insight Bowl or Motor City Bowl.
Illinois - The Illini are just a step ahead of Wisconsin based on conference record to date, but are stuck in a dog fight for their bowl lives. This team has talent but has struggled to retain last year's momentum and now must go on the road, beat a rivalry having a solid season and then HOPE it gets an invite to a bowl. Fortunately for the Illini, there appear to be spots available outside of the Big Ten rotation, because even with a win, I'm not sure there will be enough reason for the Motor City Bowl to take the Illini over say, Wisconsin. Illinois is playing for the Motor City Bowl or an at-large fill in berth.
Wisconsin - The Badgers won a game that they may have had little business winning last weekend. Their bowl lives on the line, UW came back from a large second half deficit to beat rival Minnesota and re-secure Paul Bunyan's axe. That win may have been the shot in the arm this team needed to finish the season strong. Take care of Cal Poly and a bowl outside of the Midwest looks feasible. The Badgers are playing for the Champs Bowl, Insight Bowl or Motor City Bowl.
Michigan - Welcome to the Big Ten Rich Rod. You just put up the worst season in the 129 year history of the winningest college football program of all time. That said, you have one shot at erasing all of the bad from this season. Beat Ohio State, in C-bus and the U-M faithful may throw a parade for you! Heck, the folks in East Lansing probably would, so long as the Spartans beat Penn State... How often is that the case?!
Indiana & Purdue - May as well lump these disappointments together. They are playing the official Tidy Toilet Bowl in West Lafayette this weekend. Is it basketball season yet (oh, sorry IU!)? What is there to say about this game?