Wednesday, October 31, 2007

Get Gamm - Week Ten...
Time flies during football season, doesn't it? We're already in week ten of the college football season. Three weeks remain in Big Ten play and the two leaders have a tough stretch leading to what could be another classic head-to-head battle for all the marbles.

In the meantime, the schedule this week is meaty as well with a critical battle for two teams desperately seeking to go bowling (Iowa at Northwestern), as well as a match-up that will go a long way in deciding where two particular teams go for the holidays (Purdue at Penn State). Another team has perhaps its best shot at getting what has been an elusive sixth win (Indiana vs. Ball State) while one that recently got to six wants to make it a safe seven (Illinois at Minnesota).

The top two contests of the weekend take place in Columbus and East Lansing respectively and involve the two teams tied atop the Big Ten race. Wisconsin hopes to keep its slim title hopes alive with a huge road win at Ohio State, while the Buckeyes want to further cement their hold on the No. 1 ranking.

Michigan State wants (that verb doesn't do it justice) to end Michigan's five game win streak in the rivalry game AND get to the sixth win that has eluded them so painfully in each of the last three seasons. At the same time, Michigan wants to stay unbeaten in conference play to set up the Nov. 17 showdown with OSU.

All of it adds up to what should be another incredible week in the Big Ten. Lace 'em up, button the chin straps, we're in for a fun ride...

Schedule:
Iowa at Northwestern
Purdue at Penn State
Ball State at Indiana
Wisconsin at Ohio State
Michigan at Michigan State (Tiebreaker)
Illinois at Minnesota

Iowa at Northwestern
This is one game you don't want to sleep on in the Big Ten this weekend. Iowa is maybe the most banged up team in the nation right now, but suddenly have a ray of hope after the comeback win over Michigan State. Northwestern, meanwhile, has a good shot at getting to six wins while playing that banged up team in Evanston. Iowa gave up yardage in droves to the MSU aerial attack and CJ Bacher and the 'cats chuck it around more than just about anyone. This will be a tight contest, but despite the injuries, I see Iowa surging forward with some new found confidence and sneaking away with one on the road. Iowa 23 - Northwestern 21.

Bruce S says ... Iowa 31 Northwestern 28. Iowa has renewed vigor after a good win last Saturday. They'll have plenty of their fans at the game so it may have somewhat a home game feel to it. NW's spread offense will move the ball but will come up just short in points. Iowa will prevail in a game which many come down to whomever has the ball last might win.

Purdue at Penn State
This is the game that will decide if Purdue stays in the title hunt or is relegated "pack" status. So far, there are few indications that Purdue can win a game against a marquee opponent. The Boilers are 0-2 in both shots this year, including a whipping at the hands of Michigan - on the road. Penn State may be out of the race, but you can count on one thing - the Nittany Lions will not pack it in. Win out, get to nine victories and go someplace warm for the new year is PSU's mantra. I do think it will be close because the Nits spent a lot of energy in last week's defeat. But in the end, Purdue still can't get over the hump against one of the better teams they'll face this season. Penn State 27 - Purdue 20.

Bruce S says ... Purdue 34 Penn State 27 Penn State will be suffering from a hangover after last Sat's game. Purdue's offense will gladly take advantage of this a score just enough to get a big road win.

Ball State at Indiana
This is the game the Hoosiers have been waiting for... but as they say, be careful what you wish for. Ball State may not have beaten a BCS conference team - yet - but they came awfully close at Nebraska and stayed right in the game with Illinois last week. You know those are confidence builders. The thing about this one too is with so many Big Ten teams (10) very much in the hunt to become bowl eligible, one win might not do the trick. That makes this even bigger for IU. I think they shake the losing bug, rebuild some momentum and get that elusive sixth win. Indiana 31 - Ball State 23.

Bruce S says ... Ball State 20 Indiana 35 Indiana's offense will awaken against a pretty good MAC team and finally propel the Hoosiers forward to become bowl eligible.

Wisconsin at Ohio State
This is probably the biggest game on the slate this weekend, with apologies to the MSU - UM rivalry tilt. Wisconsin has rebounded nicely from a two-game October losing streak with two main ingredients - a power rushing attack and a smothering defense. What a coincidence to be playing a team that has been built on that all season long. Ohio State proved to the nation that it belongs atop college football with its pasting of Penn State in front of a blinding (white out), boisterous crowd. Now the scarlet and gray need to stay sharp as the home stretch is in sight. PJ Hill is good to go, but foot injuries have a way of biting you when you least expect it. I see the Buckeyes zoning in and dominating this game. Ohio State 30 - Wisconsin 12.

Bruce S says ... Wisconsin 13 Ohio State 34 The Buckeyes can almost smell the BCS championship game invitation right now. They seem to be clicking on all 8 cylinders right now. An up & down Badger team will not deter this OSU team from reaching its goal.

Michigan at Michigan State
Ahh, the battle for The Paul Bunyan Trophy. A rivalry whose bitterness isn't as known outside of Michigan as it should be. I know, I live it. Wolverines and Spartans may live in apparent harmony most of the year, but trust me, when game week arrives, we hate each other. For this one, I am going to put on my homer hat. MSU is due to beat the Wolverines who have somehow, very nicely managed to win seven straight (not to mention five straight in the series). Hart and Henne may be starting, but shoulder injuries on QBs and bum ankles on RBs have a way of flaring up at inopportune times. State was stung by yet another "typical State" loss last weekend, but has been pointing to this one since Mark Dantonio came aboard. Michigan's title hopes take a major blow... Michigan State 31 - Michigan 30.

Bruce S says ... Michigan 35 Michigan State 24 With Hart & Henne expected to play, Michigan's offense will be too much for a suspect Spartan defense, which seems to be wilting in the second halves of its games. The potent Spartan offense will not be able to match Michigan's output. Thus, Michigan State will only come close once again to getting over the hump.

Illinois at Minnesota
This one has "trap game" written all over it. Minnesota is not good. Not good at all. But to the Gophers' credit, they fight hard every week. Minnesota has been close several times this season and played a solid first half at Michigan last weekend. Illinois might get caught enjoying its sixth win, achieved last week against Ball State. The Illini were far from sharp in that contest and have been off kilter for a few weeks now. I'm not going to predict the upset, but I'll be the first to tell you that it is more likely to happen than you think. Illinois 34 - Minnesota 27.

Bruce S says ... Illinois 38 Minnesota 14 The Illini will coast in this one. Illinois has too much to play for to let a down trodden Gopher team get in its way. Zook will have this team ready to play. Minnesota gets a late score to avoid a complete embarrassment.

Monday, October 29, 2007

Monday Morning QB ...
It is very clearly a two-horse race to the finish in the Big Ten race. Yes, Wisconsin, Purdue and Illinois are all technically alive, but I'm here to tell you, Ohio State won't lose more than one time the rest of the way. The key is where that loss takes place - if at all - and how Michigan fares as it hits its most brutal stretch of the season (at MSU, at Wisconsin, vs. OSU). Sorry rest of the conference, but like I said last week, this two or three year run is a little throwback to the 1970s - i.e. it's all about the scarlet and gray & maize and blue.

So what about the rest of the conference? Well, only one of the four that were vying to get a sixth win and bowl eligibility did so - Illinois. The other three wait another week and meanwhile, Iowa stayed alive. Can you imagine? The Big Ten could have as many as ten bowl eligible teams. TEN! My prediction is that it will happen. But unless a few bowls are lacking a team due to eligibility issues within their conference ties, two of the ten could be staying home...

Outside of the Big Ten - if you didn't see this ending, it is MUST-SEE!

Time for the weekly team by team, this time with Bowl Predictions:
  • Ohio State - statement win in Happy Valley on Saturday night. That place was a mad house on TV - can't imagine what it was like to be there. The Buckeyes have Wisconsin this weekend, followed by Illinois and Michigan. Suddenly this team looks better to me than last year's. Prediction - 12-0 (8-0), BCS Title Game
  • Michigan - the Big House was deathly silent as Minnesota waltzed to a 10-0 lead, but then the future of Michigan football took over. Mallett, Manningham, Minor and Brown ruled the second half and Michigan cruised to its seventh straight W. It gets immediately and progressively tougher each of the next three weeks. Prediction - 8-4 (6-2), Capital One Bowl.
  • Purdue - the Boilers are mighty tough, as long as Michigan and Ohio State aren't the opponent. What it means is that the gold and black are looking at a decent bowl bid with a nice final record. Penn State is a wounded opponent that could have a hang-over, but from there, the schedule gets a little easier. Prediction - 9-3 (5-3), Outback Bowl
  • Wisconsin - the Badgers have a chance to get right in the BCS berth mix with back-to-back contests against the leaders - Michigan and Ohio State. But, with PJ Hill dinged up, I just don't see it happening. Prediction - 8-4 (4-4), Champs Sports Bowl
  • Illinois - the Illini are in good shape. Two very winnable games remain sandwiched around a chance to send a message to No. 1 OSU. Illinois is young and sometimes fragile, but should get to a nice game this postseason. Prediction - 8-4 (4-4), Insight Bowl
  • Penn State - the Nittany Lions have to get right and quick. Purdue and Michigan State remain (as well as Temple) and there is still a lot to be played for. I see one slip up the rest of the way. Prediction - 8-4 (4-4), Alamo Bowl.
  • Indiana - the Hoosiers have been stuck on five wins for three weeks now. Ball State is the best remaining chance to get over the hump, thought the NU game could be the true bowl elimination game for both teams. Prediction - 6-6 (2-6), No Bowl.
  • Northwestern - The Wildcats have two of the last three at home and probably need to win two to go bowling if for no other reason, because MSU will be more attractive to the Motor City Bowl than either the 'cats or Hoosiers. Prediction - 6-6 (3-5), No Bowl.
  • Iowa - The Hawkeyes got new life with the come back win over the Spartans. Three winnable games remain and it might take all three to make a bowl. Prediction - 7-5 (4-4), Armed Forces Bowl
  • Michigan State - the Spartans were stung by Iowa in the process likely saw any hopes for a bowl berth outside of Michigan fade away. The Motor City Bowl is not what anyone in green and white wants, but hey, beggars can't be choosers. Prediction - 7-5 (3-5), Motor City Bowl.
  • Minnesota - well on its way to 1-11, the Gophers did put up a fight for a half at Michigan. Can be a spoiler with games remaining against Illinois, Iowa and Wisconsin. Prediction - 1-11 (0-8).

Players of the Week:
Prediction - look for someone that plays for Michigan to get a nod next week as five of MSU's opponents have garnered POTW honors from the Big Ten after playing against the Spartans.

Offense: OSU QB Todd Boeckman. Hard to argue against the pick by BigTen.org this week. Boeckman was in control and sharp all night long in a big win for the Bucks.

Defense: Purdue secondary. Held CJ Bacher, previously white hot, to 209 yards and a 50-percent completion percentage while picking off three passes.

Special Teams: Iowa Punter Ryan Donahue. An 82-yarder. An average of 51.6 yards per punt. Critical in Iowa's comeback as he fueled the field position game.

Get Gamm:
Most everyone nailed five of six for the week, but only BruceS thought OSU would have the easy time they did in Happy Valley. The race for the top is tight, with three regular season weeks to play and bowl season too boot.

Schedule:
Iowa at Northwestern
Purdue at Penn State
Ball State at Indiana
Wisconsin at Ohio State
Michigan at Michigan State (Tiebreaker)
Illinois at Minnesota

Wednesday, October 24, 2007

Get Gamm - Week Nine...
Can you believe that we are already to the final weekend in October? After Saturday, three-quarters of the regular season for college football will be in the books. Man time flies! Maybe that's because it has been such an amazing season. Upsets have been the rule, not the exception. The Big Ten hasn't been immune, yet has nine teams with real shots at bowl eligibility. Not bad for a league that continually gets hammered by the media as being weak and overrated.

This week sees one huge battle and some other key games. The big one takes place in State College where the Buckeyes are looking to stay on top of college football. A slip up gives Michigan a sudden inside track because the Wolverines can play this week without Henne, Hart and Manningham and still crush Minnesota. Several other teams are fighting for that sixth win and jockeying for bowl position. Don't turn away, it is just another in a long line of meaningful weekends in the Big Ten...

Schedule:
Ball State at Illinois
Purdue at Northwestern
Michigan State at Iowa
Indiana at Wisconsin
Minnesota at Michigan
Ohio State at Penn State (Tiebreaker)

Ball State at Illinois
A quick glance and you might think that this is just what the doctor ordered for a young Illini team that has been stung in consecutive games and brought back to earth. But if you look past Ball State, the'll bite you. Just ask Nebraska, who got lucky to beat the Cardinals at home in September. Illinois is on its heels but can get that magical sixth win with still plenty to play for. I see a sluggish start for the orange krush, but in the end, the Illini have too many playmakers and too much hunger to get this opportunity slip by. Illinois 27 - Ball State 20.

St. Louis Jeff says ... Is Ball State a charter member of the Big Ten? Two road games against Illinois and Indiana might make one think so. Illinois looks to get back to their winning ways this week against Ball State. Ball State almost pulled a shocker on the road at Nebraska earlier, but I think Illinois will get the better of them this week. After losing to Michigan last week, Illinois will get back on track with a win against another MAC school. It might be close for a while, but Illinois pulls away in the end. Illinois 38 - Ball State 24

Purdue at Northwestern
I've taken heat from Boilermakers fans every summer that I've preseason predicted a Northwestern win over the gold and black. This wasn't one of them, but I have to admit, my tune is changing. The Wildcats are better than I expected (Duke loss be damned) and on a bit of a roll right now. A win here makes the streak four and gets NU to six wins. Purdue got back on track last week with a blowout win over Iowa. I'm more than a little torn here. The offenses could both go wild in this game. That means it might come down to special teams play. And even those statistical categories are about neck and neck when you take in the big picture. Time to flip a coin... Northwestern has more to play for and gets a big win. Northwestern 33 - Purdue 31.

St. Louis Jeff says ... Northwestern is another one of those teams looking to become bowl eligible. Unfortunately, they are playing Purdue. Purdue's offense looked to be back in true form last week against Iowa. Northwestern is giving up 30 ppg (that's even with a shutout). Not a good combination. Purdue goes t0 7-2. Purdue 35 - Northwestern 21

Michigan State at Iowa
The Spartans are one of four teams trying to get to six wins this weekend. Playing on the road in the Big Ten is never, ever easy and Iowa has posed a problem for the Spartans in Iowa City for years. State's last win in Kinnick came in 1989. To put that in perspective - my picking com padre St. Louis Jeff and I were sophomores ... IN HIGH SCHOOL ... at the time! One thing is for sure, MSU is playing tough, win or lose this season. Iowa? Not so much. The Hawkeyes have been abysmal on offense all season long and though teams have a knack for getting healthy against the MSU defense, most of that was during the JLS era when defense didn't seem to matter. MSU has a bright stretch ahead of it, Iowa does not as there is no way the black and gold win three of four to go bowling... Michigan State 24 - Iowa 16.

St. Louis Jeff says ... I recently read an article on Coach Dantonio saying they have been talking about the "b" word (bowl). Well, looking at their remaining schedule, this may be MSU's best chance of reaching bowl eligibility. I know they haven't won in Iowa since I was in high school (1989), but this MSU team has a real shot this weekend. They showed that they don't quit last week against OSU (which has been lacking on the latest MSU teams). That same article mentioned that losses to below-500 teams has kept MSU out of bowls in recent memory. Iowa is always tough at Kinnick Stadium, but their offense (15 ppg) is as bad as the St. Louis Rams (11 ppg). I see MSU getting bowl eligible on the road this weekend. Michigan State 31 - Iowa 23

Indiana at Wisconsin
Is the third time the charm for the Hoosiers? IU started the season at 5-1 and in two opportunities to get bowl eligible have not fared too well. There was the debacle in East Lansing followed by a fumbled (literally) opportunity at home against Penn State. Wisconsin snapped its two game losing streak with a crushing win over Northern Illinois but has to be fearful of a fast and dangerous QB as that has been their Achilles Heel of late (read, Illinois game). Wisconsin blasted IU in Bloomington last year, but a very Kellen Lewis-like QB by the name of Antwaan Randle El led the Hoosiers to a big win (63-32) in Madison six years ago. Wisconsin just doesn't lose that often at home and won't get caught looking ahead to OSU. Wisconsin 31 - Indiana 21.

St. Louis Jeff says ... Indiana had a chance last week to get that elusive sixth win, but ultimately fell short against Penn State. Wisconsin got exactly what they needed...a win (albeit against lowly Northern Illinois). I think Indiana might have to wait until next week's game against Ball State to get their sixth win. It will be closer than some might think, but Wisconsin takes this one. Wisconsin 34 - Indiana 20

Minnesota at Michigan
I'm going to save some breath here. Sorry Minnesota, but you dumped a coach that had led you to success and now you must ride out the transition. The Gophers have lost to powerhouses such as Florida Atlantic, Bowling Green and 1-AA North Dakota State while barely beating Miami-OH for its only win. Michigan can rest all of its stars for the rivalry game with MSU next week and still win by 20-plus points. Michigan 41 - Minnesota 14.

St. Louis Jeff says ... I gave Minnesota the benefit of the doubt last weekend and thought they just might be able to pull out a win against NDSU. No more. Minnesota is just plain bad. To lose to Florida Atlantic, NDSU and BGSU and get lucky against Miami (OH)...unthinkable. We're talking about a Big Ten school. Michigan is back in the picture after their horrible start. Look for a laugher. Michigan 45 - Minnesota 10

Ohio State at Penn State (Tiebreaker)
No doubt, the Game of the Week. Night games in Happy Valley are something else. The place will likely pull off a white out - something to behold on TV let alone in person. These teams match up well and I think it is going to be a defensive struggle. Two of the best linebackers in the land will match wits - James Lauranitis and Dan Connor. The QBs are very similar. The WR corps the same. OSU has a tough ride in to stay on top and it starts at Penn State. That said, the difference is the ground game. The Buckeyes have an edge and more depth and that is how they will win this game. Ohio State 16 - Penn State 9.

St. Louis Jeff says ... Easily the game of the week in the Big Ten. In prime time Ohio State takes on Penn State up in Happy Valley. OSU had the game in hand last week, then got a little sloppy which made the score closer than it really was. Penn State went on the road and beat a decent Indiana team. OSU's defense is just playing out of their minds. Penn State is on a roll right now. At night...that darn lion roar...the fans...it's going to be a really tough test for OSU, but in the end I see them pulling it out. Ohio State 28 - Penn State 24

Monday, October 22, 2007

Monday afternoon QB...
Does this feel like the 1970s or what? I was just a kid in the 70s (born in '73) but a peek back in time reminds me that for a decade, two teams ruled the roost in the Big Ten - Ohio State and Michigan. It feels an awful lot like that again this season (last year too). The teams stand alone, unscathed at the top, two games clear of the nearest competition.

The Big Ten is however, getting ZERO national respect this year. Many feel OSU will be the next giant to fall from the top. Michigan did lose to a 1-AA team and got hammered in week two as well, so that doesn't help. Meanwhile, prior to this past Saturday, perennial doormats Illinois and Indiana were still a big part of the conference race. So, while on one hand I can see where the disrespect comes from, I still think it has as much to do with overall infatuation with the SEC, their gorgeous women and thunderously loud night-time crowds.

Let them look past the Big Ten. What they might miss is the best defense I have seen on TV or in person - maybe ever. Yes, Ohio State's defense is that good and yes, I think it is better than the one the national title team fielded back in 2002. They'll also miss a Michigan team that is finding a way to get things done, despite an array of bumps, bruises and in some cases, much more serious injuries. They'll look past the fact that Illinois, Indiana and Michigan State are simply getting better and not that the league is just mediocre. I say, let 'em do it.

The Big Ten will get a chance to prove its worth (and me right) come bowl season. For starters... there are five teams eligible and four one game away. Might the B10 send nine bowling this year? That very well may happen indeed...
  • Illinois - the Illini blew a tremendous chance to prove they are totally back. Self-inflicted destruction kept the orange and blue from a season-making win.
  • Indiana - the Hoosiers have come crashing back to earth the past two weeks. IU was much better against PSU than MSU but fumbled (4 times) away its chance to get a marquee win.
  • Iowa - yikes! The Hawkeyes are bad on offense. Really bad. Iowa may only have one more "sure" win on the slate - a rivalry date with Minnesota.
  • Michigan - just when you thought the Wolverines were dead, the maize and blue extended an impressive streak at Memorial Stadium in Champaign. They haven't lost there since 1983!
  • Michigan State - the Spartans fought hard in Columbus but found out first hand how good the OSU defense is. State is improved, but needs to show it in a key trip to Iowa City this weekend.
  • Minnesota - I don't wanna say I told you so (against NDSU) but, I told you so. This is not a good football team. The defense is as bad as I've seen in years and the offense is still in growth mode. 1-11 is very, VERY realistic.
  • Northwestern - don't look now but the Wildcats have won three in a row. Think they might still be kicking themselves over the loss to Duke as they sit one win away from a bowl?
  • Ohio State - best Buckeyes defense I've seen. The difference between this version and 2002 is that the offense seems to be on more solid footing. Is a repeat trip to the title game possible? You bet. Maybe even likely.
  • Penn State - a nice road win for the Nits at Indiana. The defense rose up and the offense was sound. Good timing to be firing on all cylinders with OSU coming to Beaver Stadium.
  • Purdue - Iowa was just what the doctor ordered for Purdue. Still not convinced that the Boilers are a great team, but they can be very good with a chance to get a few more quality wins down the stretch.
  • Wisconsin - see Purdue. NIU was just what a wounded Wisconsin team needed. Particularly with a brutal two game stretch coming up (OSU and U-M sandwiched between Indiana and Minnesota).

Players of the Week:
Offense: Chris "Beanie" Wells, TB - OSU. Wells nailed the Spartans' coffin shut, picking up three first downs late to salt away a win. Oh yeah, he also racked up 221 yards on the ground.

Offense: James Hardy, WR - IU. 14 catches, 2 scores, 142 yards against PSU.

Defense: Maurice Evans, DE - PSU. The guy was a stats machine. 6 tackles, 4.5 TFLs, 3.5 sacks, 2 forced fumbles, 1 PBU and 1 fumble recovery.

Special Teams: Kevin Kelly, PK - PSU. 3-3 on field goals in a 5-point PSU win over IU.

Get Gamm:
Plenty of 6-1 records for the week - 7 to be exact. However, most called for an OSU blowout of MSU. FWIW, I nearly nailed that score and picked the NDSU upset but got burned by two home teams - Illinois and Indiana. The winner in back-to-back fashion was St. Louis Jeff. Jeff picked the Bucknuts by 4 and was closest to the 7-point final margin.

Schedule:
Ball State at Illinois
Purdue at Northwestern
Michigan State at Iowa
Indiana at Wisconsin
Minnesota at Michigan
Ohio State at Penn State (Tiebreaker)

Wednesday, October 17, 2007

Get Gamm - Week Eight...
The Big Ten race really figures to crank up a level this weekend, despite only four head-to-head match-ups (three teams finish up their OOC slates). Illinois has a chance to stay in the race or start to fade to the pack when Michigan comes in for a prime time battle that will have Champaign rocking. Michigan State isn't in the race per se, but can upset the apple cart with an upset of No. 1 ranked Ohio State. Iowa is trying to fight for its bowl lives - needing three wins in five games to get there. The Hawkeyes' opponent - Purdue - desperately needs to get back to winning after two rather large duds in a row. Finally, Penn State travels to Indiana. While winning the league crown may be a long shot for either squad, a win would go a long way in the race to get to the more prominent bowl bids.


Out of conference, the MAC gets two more shots at the Big Ten and Minnesota has the unenviable task of taking on hungry and unbeaten 1-AA foe North Dakota State. Recall, the Bison nearly upset a much better Golden Gophers team last year and already dismantled one of the MAC leaders - Central Michigan - earlier this season.


All in all it makes for another interesting weekend. Seven teams are within one win of bowl eligibility. Another pair are two wins away. This weekend will go a long way in determining who goes somewhere for the holidays and who stays home...


Schedule:
Northwestern vs. Eastern Michigan (at Ford Field, Friday)
North Dakota State at Minnesota
Northern Illinois at Wisconsin
Michigan at Illinois
Penn State at Indiana
Iowa at Purdue
Michigan State at Ohio State (Tiebreaker)

Northwestern vs. Eastern Michigan (Ford Field, Friday 10/19)
Call this a pre-Motor City Bowl battle, although one team for sure won't be there (EMU). Still, it is being contested at Ford Field, on a day other than Saturday and pits the two tied-in conferences head to head. For Eastern, it is a chance to take a step up. For Northwestern it is a chance to get within a game of a bowl bid. It is one that the Wildcats can't take for granted, as EMU battled Michigan decently a few weeks ago. I like the way Bacher is playing. Maybe the defense can finally ratchet things up a notch... Northwestern 38 - Eastern Michigan 28.

St. Louis Jeff says ... After two thrilling victories, Northwestern can finally breathe a sigh of relief when they step on the field against Eastern Michigan. Northwestern's offense should have no trouble with Eastern in one of three very easy (should be) non-conference games for the Big Ten this week. C.J. will have a field day against a defense giving up an average of 30 PPG. Northwestern 48 - Eastern Michigan 21


North Dakota State at Minnesota
Hmmm, what to do, who to pick. Minnesota has been in a lot of games this year but simply cannot close the deal. NDSU is unbeaten, was a blocked field goal from the upset last year and has already knocked around a 1A foe (CMU). I really like the evolution of the Golden Gopher offense but the defense is not as good as the one my rocket football team fields. And, I don't like a coaching decision like the two-point conversion try before it was necessary in last week's loss. All of that adds up to another loss for the maroon and gold. North Dakota State 33 - Minnesota 31.

St. Louis Jeff says ... (See above about easy non-conference game) This is going to be a great game...oh wait, we're talking football aren't we? I thought this was a hockey game at first. Minny should have no problem with ND State. Minnesota 35 - NDSU 7

Northern Illinois at Wisconsin
This is an uncharacteristic down year for the NIU Huskies but you won't hear Wisconsin complaining. The Badgers are actually lucky to be 2-2 in the conference and only riding a two-game losing streak. Why? The Iowa and MSU wins could have easily gone the other way. This is a chance for the Badgers to get right and get back to winning. It helps that PJ Hill can get a rest when at home because Lance Smith - who isn't allowed to travel with the team due to off-field issues - is available. The Huskies hung with Iowa in the opener but that was a neutral site game against a far less imposing offense. Wisconsin 34 - Northern Illinois 10.

St. Louis Jeff says ... Wisconsin looks to right the ship after two games they prefer not to remember. It's good then that they have Northern Illinois coming into Madison this weekend. No contest in another easy non-conference game on the Big Ten schedule this week. Wisconsin 38 - Northern Illinois 10

Michigan at Illinois
My how far the Illini have come. Despite the loss to Iowa, the Illini are right in the Big Ten title mix and have a huge opportunity to score another epic home win. Michigan is the third straight ranked opponent to visit Champaign and a win would here would mean more to the program than the Penn State and Wisconsin wins - combined. The Wolverines seemed to have gotten back on track, and played their best game - by far - in a romp over Purdue last weekend. Still, there is a great chance that Mike Hart will have reduced effectiveness due to an ankle injury and there is the fact that Illinois fields a mobile QB. Illinois won't win the Big Ten this year, but it will win this game and be a factor in the race. Illinois 27 - Michigan 23.

St. Louis Jeff says ... In what should be one of the two best games in the Big Ten this week, Michigan looks to keep their momentum on the road in Champaign. After coming back to earth last week in it's loss to Iowa, Illinois has a very tough test at home this week. While Illinois has taken many steps in their recovery from the last few seasons, I think Michigan will squeak out a close one on the road. Michigan 28 - Illinois 24

Penn State at Indiana
In year's past, this would be a definite "so-what" game. Not this time. Both teams are 5-2, 2-2 and seeking to not only hang on in the Big Ten race (I still say 6-2 wins it) but are also looking to sew up bowl eligibility. Penn State is so different as a team away from Beaver Stadium than at home that it isn't even funny. Indiana is still trying to develop a home field edge. The Hoosiers got stung hard in East Lansing last weekend while the Nittany Lions trounced Wisconsin. The PSU defense is tough, the IU offense has a lot of weapons. It really comes down to who can make more plays. Sounds cliche, even sort of stupid, but that's what the game is about. I think Penn State will continue to struggle on the road in what will be an instant classic. Indiana 38 - Penn State 37.

St. Louis Jeff says ... Usually this one would fall under a blowout (easy prediction). Penn State has won two straight after their two close losses against Michigan and Illinois. They completely blew away Wisconsin up in Happy Valley, and while Indiana has stepped it up this year, I don't see them getting that magical sixth win this week. Penn State 31 - Indiana 21

Iowa at Purdue
The Hawkeyes got a much-needed shot in the arm last week with a late stand and upset win over Illinois (that just doesn't sound right). Purdue is reeling in all facets of the game after two straight duds against the big boys (OSU and U-M). Iowa has a rock solid defense and proved last week that it can stop a talented offense. Purdue is in a funk, but due to snap out of it ... at least I think they are. If the game was in Iowa City, I would lean towards the Hawkeyes. But I think the Boilermakers are ready to snap to and get back on track. Purdue 23 - Iowa 14.

St. Louis Jeff says ... Iowa comes to W. Lafayette this week hoping to keep it's momentum from their win over Illinois. Purdue is hoping to get things back on track after their games with Michigan and Ohio State. Being back at home should help Purdue get back on a winning streak. Purdue 38 - Iowa 17

Michigan State at Ohio State (tiebreaker)
I promise you this - MSU fans everywhere are hearkening back to two dates in history - 1974 and 1998. The commonality? Unranked Spartans teams stunned No. 1 rated Buckeye squads. MSU is playing with that "we're NOT the same 'ol Spartans" chip on its shoulder right now and has nothing to lose and everything to gain. But it isn't as if Tressel's team hasn't been here before. Ohio State has won 25-straight regular season contests and the 'shoe is one tough place to play. The key for MSU will be to have early success. The key for OSU is to continue to get other-worldly play from a defense that leads the nation. Big Ten's best O vs. Big Ten's best D. I like MSU's chances to score the upset, but when in doubt, defense wins games... Ohio State 24 - Michigan State 16.

St. Louis Jeff says ... In my humble un-biased opinion (GO GREEN!), easily the best game of the week. No one is going to give MSU a chance (except probably Andy!) to go into Columbus and upset the top-ranked Buckeyes. They did it before, and while it will be a great game, I think in the end, Ohio State and it's home fans will take home a win. I think MSU keeps it close throughout the game though, and don't see a blowout like some of the so-called experts may think. Ohio State 35 - Michigan State 31

Monday, October 15, 2007

Monday afternoon QB ...
Another week is in the books and while there are two very familiar faces atop the league standings, everything still appears to be wide open. Iowa and Michigan State snapped lengthy in-conference losing spells, Illinois came back to earth, Northwestern's got the overtime thing down pat, Wisconsin got slapped around by a Penn State team in turmoil off the field and Michigan put together its best game of the season - although it may have suffered a huge loss at the same time (more on that later).

Around the rest of college football, another pair of unbeatens fell (LSU and Cal) leaving Ohio State to slide to the top slot in college football. Yes, the same Ohio State that lost a Heisman trophy QB, eight players to the NFL draft, etc. This may well be the wildest college football season I can remember. We're talking every single preseason Top 10 team with at least one loss so far and South Florida - a program not even in existence a few years ago - sitting in the top 3!

Hang on, there is much jockeying to take place both in the Big Ten and on the national scene. And oh by the way - ENJOY IT! This is like an entire football season that looks like the three weeks of heaven we get each March on the hardwood.

Time for my weekly team-by-team synopsis. This week we work in order of standing:
  • Ohio State - wow. On top of college football again. Proof that they don't rebuild, they reload in Columbus. OSU was the beneficiary of two losses ahead of them but are definitely a worthy number one at this point. The defense is eerily similar to the 2002 national title team but the offense is better than that one. Things get tough going forward though with MSU, Penn State, Illinois, Wisconsin, and Michigan remaining.
  • Michigan - the good news? Michigan is coming off its best game of the season. The bad news? Mike Hart got hurt. How seriously? U-M isn't talking. If he's out for any length of time, Michigan could be in for a bumpy ride with trips to Illinois, MSU and Wisconsin still staring the Wolverines in the face, let alone that season ending battle with OSU.
  • Illinois - the loss at Iowa hurt but it doesn't ruin the season. The Illini are still young and were due for a stumble after rising up to beat ranked teams two weeks in a row. Michigan comes to town this weekend in a game that might go a long way to deciding the fate of the title...
  • Indiana - another team off to a hot start got pulled back to earth, but with a more resounding thud than the Illini. Indiana was out-everythinged at Michigan State but gets a shot at redemption with Penn State coming into Bloomington this weekend. Get that win and there is a legitimate shot at eight wins this season.
  • Penn State - the Nittany Lions wish they could play every game in Beaver Stadium. The myriad off-the-field issues may have been motivating in an annihilation of Wisconsin. Now we need to see if the Nits can get it done on the road. Indiana is an upstart, much like Illinois and is still looking to prove it can beat a big boy.
  • Wisconsin - the fall from the 14-game win streak has been hard and fast. The Badgers look suddenly average and have to right the ship to stay in the title mix. There are still ample opportunities available and maybe a week away from conference play will help get things moving back in the right direction.
  • Northwestern - call them the cardiac cats. Saturday marked yet another come from behind victory for the Wildcats and was another red letter day for the offense, particularly CJ Bacher. The Wildcats should get a win over Eastern Michigan this weekend, meaning a bowl berth is at their finger tips. If only the defense could stop someone, maybe the 'cats could breathe easy during a game this season!
  • Michigan State - the Spartans are playing with a chip on their shoulders right now and at the right time. The schedule gets markedly tougher, starting with a trip to face No. 1 OSU this weekend. State has the players to get it done on both sides of the ball and now that there is some confidence back after the resounding win over Indiana, perhaps we won't see the same 'ol Spartans for a change.
  • Purdue - I was flabbergasted when I saw the Purdue score at Michigan this weekend. Purdue won't win a big game in the Big Ten unless the Boilermakers step up and stop someone. The offense is suddenly Sunday church service silent and that doesn't bode well with some decent match-ups still on the slate.
  • Iowa - can you believe that the win over Illinois ended an eight game in conference losing streak for the Hawkeyes? The defense rose up after a few less than typical weeks and the team has a renewed vigor for what looks to be a tough stretch run.
  • Minnesota - memo to coaches all across the land (yeah, you too Dave Wannstedt) - don't frigging go for two in OT until you have to! I know extra points aren't a total gimme, but 99.9-percent of 'em are good, so why put that pressure on your team? Minnesota has lost some heart-breakers this year, but not because the offense is bad. With time, it'll be even better. But Coach Brewster, go sign 20 defensive players in February because you won't win in this league by simply trying to outscore people - just ask John L. Smith.

Players of the Week:
Offense - Javon Ringer, RB - Michigan State. Ringer ripped off his 4th straight 100-yard plus effort, going for 203 yards and two scores against the Hoosiers.

Defense - Mike Humpal, LB - Iowa. Hard to argue against 18 tackles, 2.5 TFL and a fumble recovery in an upset victory over Illinois.

Special Teams - Austin Starr, K - Indiana. Not much to go with around the Big Ten this week, but Starr kept his streak alive with two more field goals in as many attempts versus MSU.

Get Gamm...
Lord help us all, B10SportsFan went a perfect 6-0 for the week. Aren't you all excited to be regaled with his commentary? As a back-up, St. Louis Jeff was among those at 5-1 that was closest on the tiebreaker, so Jeff, send me your picks and commentary too. Picks are due by Friday this week since there is a Friday night contest...

Schedule:
Northwestern vs. Eastern Michigan (at Ford Field, Friday)
Michigan at Illinois
Penn State at Indiana
Iowa at Purdue
Michigan State at Ohio State (Tiebreaker)
North Dakota State at Minnesota
Northern Illinois at Wisconsin

Basketball time!
Midnight Madness kicked off the college basketball season on Friday. That means previews for the 2007-08 season are coming soon. Stay tuned!

Wednesday, October 10, 2007

Get Gamm – Week Seven …
My own picks haven’t been showing it as much lately, but my lead in last week called it: Minnesota is the only team that might not win any league games, everyone else is primed to upset or be upset. Well, just last week, Illinois proved that they are for real with an upset (not by Vegas standards) of Wisconsin. Northwestern surprised Michigan State at home.

There is a pack of contenders still in the mix, with everyone still mathematically alive for a bowl game at this point. That said, Minnesota is more or less done. Iowa and Northwestern have major uphill climbs. But Illinois, Indiana, Purdue and Wisconsin are just one game away. Michigan, Michigan State and Penn State are two away. Ohio State has clinched but has bigger goals in mind now that the Buckeyes have shot up to number three in the nation.

This week poses the same conundrum as past week’s – will the teams that are supposed to win, win, or will there be a couple of brow-raisers along the way? Truth is, there is but one certainty this week – OSU will win. The rest of the games are up for grabs. Picking with me is OSU fan AndrewJ1313 and he agrees - "What a week for me to have to pick! Ugh, there are four games that can easily go either way and I have to pick one team or another…damn I love College football. "

Schedule:
Illinois at Iowa
Kent State at Ohio State
Minnesota at Northwestern
Purdue at Michigan
Wisconsin at Penn State (tiebreaker)
Indiana at Michigan State

Illinois at Iowa
The first of the tough to call genre this weekend. Yes, Illinois is on a roll. Yes, Iowa is stuck in the slop - particularly on offense. Yes, a win here makes Illinois bowl eligible and keeps them atop the conference race. But, Iowa is desperate and might Illinois be set up for a fall after two hard-fought, emotional home wins over ranked foes? That's what makes this so tough to call. Illinois should win this game. The Illini are superior offensively. However, Iowa has a very good defense - or at least it did earlier this season. Do you go with the wounded bird or the sky-high Illini? I'm going with the upset. Why? I'm not really sure except for every week had to have one! Iowa 16 - Illinois 14.

AndrewJ1313 says ... At this point, this should be a no brainer, but this game could be a trap for the Illini. Two big wins at home against ranked opponents and then on the road to a hostile environment at Kinnick Stadium. Hopefully this young team won’t get caught looking ahead to their home date with Michigan. In the end, Illinois is rolling and Iowa is not, Illinois sticks with its bread and butter while throwing some new looks at Iowa. Illinois 24, Iowa 16.

Kent State at Ohio State
Kent State is 3-3, which surprisingly ties for the top record in the MAC. The Golden Flashes have played an upper tier team - Kentucky - but have not carried any momentum from week to week. The mere fact that this is a game no one gives them a chance to win will be enough to fire up the Flashes for a quarter or so, but really, OSU could play its second string and win. Ohio State 31 - Kent State 9.

AndrewJ1313 says ... Easiest pick of the week, but Tressel and OSU won’t treat it that way. Kent has played well on offense this year, even in two of their three losses, but OSU's defense should have had a shut out against a high powered offense last Saturday and will look to get it this week at home. OSU will score early and often and by the third quarter will be preparing backups for a physical game against MSU the following Saturday. Tressel could run the score to 48 or more, but he generally doesn’t humiliate Ohio teams. GO BUCKS!!!!! OSU 35, Kent 0.

Minnesota at Northwestern
I guess if there is a game left on the schedule that Minnesota has a fair shot to win, this would be it. Hey, NU has lost to Duke after all. But something tells me that the Wildcats will be playing with a ton of confidence after the OT win in East Lansing last weekend. The 'cats dodged some bullets in that game with two blown FG attempts late and had the spread offense firing on all cylinders. One thing is for sure, the scoreboard operator better be ready. Minnesota can score too - they just can't stop a thing. Northwestern 51 - Minnesota 48.

AndrewJ1313 says ... Minnesota has scored 30 points or more four times this year - they’ve lost three of those games. They’ve also given up 30 points or more 6 times. Northwestern’s defense isn’t much better…but it is better. This game has the potential to be a high scoring event, especially if Northwestern picks up where it left off in East Lansing. For some reason I want to pick Minnesota in this one, I just have a feeling they are going to find a way to outscore Northwestern, but logic tells me to pick a hot team who is returning home. Northwestern 38, Minnesota 35.

Purdue at Michigan
Tough call number three. Purdue has a potent spread attack - a style that has been a thorn in Michigan's side for a while now. The thing is, Curtis Painter isn't exactly what you'd call fleet of foot, and in reality that's the bigger issue for the Michigan defense. Still, the Wolverines are flawed in all aspects of the game. Let me repeat that, because I can't believe I used Michigan and flawed in all aspects of the game in the same sentence. I'm not sure if it is the injuries, an internal issue, a sudden drop in talent or what, but this U-M squad is as beatable as they've been since 1984. Does that mean Purdue gets the "W"? Not necessarily. The Boilers failed to take advantage of the spotlight at home against Ohio State, so can they do it this week? If the gold and black can somehow bottle up Mike Hart, Purdue will win this game. Purdue 23 - Michigan 20.

AndrewJ1313 says ... We all know the story on Michigan, or lack there of really. This team still has a lot of questions and Michigan’s D should be sending OSU a thank you note for showing them what they need to do to slow down Purdue (I say “slow down” because I don’t think Michigan is talented enough to stop Purdue). Purdue’s defense did show signs of life in the last 35 minutes of the game Saturday, but Michigan has a talented offense and Mike Hart will be the difference in this one. Another match up with the potential to be a high scorer and possibly need OT to determine a winner. Michigan 28, Purdue 24.

Wisconsin at Penn State (Tiebreaker)
At the onset of the season, this appeared to be a watermark game in the title chase. It will still have bearing on the race, as a Penn State win keeps their slim hopes alive and brings one of the main contenders back to the pack. The question is, will all of the off-the-field shenanigans throw the Nittany Lions of their game? It seems like more trouble has been brewing the past six months in Happy Valley than in Miami. What gives? Anyway, back to the game. Wisconsin is reeling a bit after losing for the first time in 15 tries last weekend. The receiving corps is dinged up and every game has been far more of a battle than expected. Penn State finally got the offense signing from the same hymnal last weekend, a good sign for this week. I predicted last week that 3 or 4 teams would tie at 6-2. This one will make that even more realistic. Penn State 26 - Wisconsin 24.

AndrewJ1313 says ... A must win for Wisconsin. If Wisconsin wants to earn any respect back from the nation they have to win in Happy Valley. Penn State has outscored their opponents 162-41 at home including 1 shut out (true, this stat doesn’t involve any quality offenses). Wisconsin has struggled both times on the road this year and they will again this week. Bielema is proving to be a good coach and we'll see how his team rebounds after a tough loss on the road last Saturday. This one will be a classic Big Ten, smash mouth game and the outcome depends on how many plays/mistakes Morelli makes/avoids. Penn St. 20, Wisconsin 17.

Indiana at Michigan State
Of all the games on this week's schedule, this might be the toughest to call. Everyone is gang-tackling the Spartans this week after a woeful defensive - or should that be defen-sieve - performance in an overtime loss to Northwestern. The thing is, for as much hand-wringing and eye-rolling as is going on in Spartan nation, MSU is right about where they were pegged at this point. And the two losses had at least a handful of plays that had they gone the other way would have MSU unbeaten. Translation - MSU played poorly last week, but it was still nearly good enough to win. Now, Indiana is far better than Northwestern, but maybe not as good as Wisconsin. MSU has pressure for sure, but I think this is where we see some growth in the Spartans program. Everyone is counting them out again, and as an alum, I can tell you that this is precisely when State plays its best football. Michigan State 33 - Indiana 27.

AndrewJ1313 says ... Another tricky game to call, and if JLS were still in E.L. I’d take Indiana for sure. Indiana’s offense really surprised me by how well they beat Iowa’s defense on the road two weeks ago, but I don’t think they are going to surprise anyone this week at Michigan State. MSU will be ready and under Dantonio, should be hungry to prove they are better then their 4-2 record. Indiana has faced a good defense once this year and they were held to 14 points, at home no less. I think Dantonio and MSU get back on track this week and delay Indiana’s bowl eligibility celebration. MSU 27, Indiana 22.

Monday, October 08, 2007

Monday afternoon QB...
Another week of play, another week of eye-opening results. While none of the upsets were of the caliber of Appalachian State over Michigan, Syracuse over Louisville (then a huge upset in terms of the point spread) or Stanford over USC (41-point dog snaps the Trojans' 35-game home win streak) there were some head-turning events in the Big Ten this weekend.

For starters, Illinois laid the wood to Wisconsin in a game that wasn't as close as the final score indicates. Yes, the Illini were favored in the game (I guess Vegas does know what they're doing) but who really thought that Illinois would end the nation's longest win streak? Northwestern was a 16.5 point underdog at Michigan State with everyone out of E.L. stating with absolute certainty their readiness to avoid a letdown after the heartbreaking loss at Wisconsin the week prior. The result? An epic day by the Wildcats' aerial attack and C.J. Bacher and a 48-41 overtime win for the purple and black.

The rest of it was not too shocking... Ohio State dominated Purdue in the Boilermakers' first real test of the season. Michigan never fully pulled away from Eastern Michigan but was never in danger. Penn State finally got rolling and further pinned Iowa under the bus. Indiana dominated Minnesota in a game that probably wasn't as close as the 40-20 final indicates.

So, here we sit, exactly halfway through the season with Illinois tied atop the Big Ten standings and Iowa cemented in the basement. As they say, that's why they play the games. On paper, things seem wild and wacky, but in reality we now have a pretty good sense of who are the contenders and who are the pretenders. Speaking of where we are, let's take a look team by team at my mid-season report card on my predictions (working in the order I picked the teams, worst to first):
  • Minnesota - worse than I thought they might be, the Golden Gophers have just one win to their credit - an overtime victory over Miami-OH. I had Minnesota 3-3 (0-3) right now, but alas the Gophers lost to BGSU and Florida Atlantic to make them 1-5 (0-3). Hard to say if the team is heading in the right direction, I guess that will be up for decision at season's end.
  • Illinois - surprise team of the season - a lot further along than I anticipated this year, i.e. more of what I expected in 08. The Illini have but one agonizingly close loss on their slate right now. I had them at 2-4 (0-3) right now, but the orange crush are out to a blazing 5-1 (3-0) start and are the talk of the conference.
  • Northwestern - right about where I had them pegged. The loss to Duke was very damaging to postseason hopes, but the win over Michigan State was huge. I had the Wildcats at 2-4 (0-3) right now and they sit instead at 3-3 (1-2) with a fighting chance to make a bowl. If C.J. Bacher plays like he did against MSU the rest of the way, look for a bigger upset down the road.
  • Indiana - as good as the Hoosiers are playing right now, I had them pegged. Swap the predicted loss to Iowa for the actual loss to Illinois and the 5-1 (2-1) record I prognosticated at this point is dead on. The schedule is a lot tougher down the stretch, but who knew that Indiana would lead the nation in sacks on top of a potent offense and solid special teams unit?
  • Michigan State - odd as it seems, the Spartans are right where I predicted them to be as well. Notre Dame was far more awful than I expected, so basically State traded a win there for the loss against NU. Still, the way MSU started, the green and white should be closer to 5-1 maybe even 6-0, but the same issues with not being able to close the deal are rearing up again. I had State at 4-2 (1-1) and they sit at 4-2 (0-2). This weekend's game is critical.
  • Purdue - up to now, the only team I have scored 100-percent accuracy with. Purdue cake-walked through a cream puff filled OOC slate, held on at Minnesota and took a beating from Ohio State. I had them 5-1 (1-1) and that is right where they sit. Michigan is up next so if Purdue is to prove to be for real, it needs to have a good showing in Ann Arbor this Saturday.
  • Iowa - the reverse of Illinois. While I did predict the upset at Iowa State, I didn't necessarily see the tank job against Indiana or the total offensive ineptitude that has been on display all season long. The Hawkeyes have lost eight-straight conference games dating back to last season. I picked them to be 3-3 (1-2) right now and they sit 2-4 (0-3) and looking worse than I expected. To get to the end goal I planted, Iowa has a lot of work to do.
  • Penn State - I honestly had Penn State pegged to be a little better than they are right now. The loss at Illinois doesn't look so bad anymore, but it was still one they could've had. The loss to Michigan is the most disappointing, with the Wolverines down and a great opportunity at hand. The Nits are just a touch off pace - I had them at 5-1 (2-1) and they are 4-2 (1-2) with plenty of upside potential remaining.
  • Ohio State - the scarlet and gray are right on track with one exception - they are a better team at this point than I figured them to be and low and behold, they are right in the national title race again. OSU is the second team I have a perfect mark with - 6-0 (3-0) with the first test (Purdue) out of the way.
  • Michigan - despite the four game win streak the Wolverines currently ride, this has to be the most disappointing team in the conference. The mega upset loss to Appalachian State was followed by the biggest home dud in decades against Oregon. The big win over lowly ND built some confidence and the maize and blue are grinding it out, but at 4-2 (2-0) when I had them picked to be perfect at this point, there is something left to be desired.
  • Wisconsin - the loss to Illinois isn't a bad loss but it is still a little shocking, particularly based on preseason predictions. Of course the Illini are far better than expected, so maybe it isn't too deflating. The Badgers are 5-1 (2-1) and just a game off the perfect pace I projected but with tough games remaining (Penn State, Ohio State and Michigan).

Players of the Week:
Offense - C.J. Bacher, QB - Northwestern. Second most passing yards ever against the Spartans (520 as well as 5 TD passes)

Defense - Penn State team. Held Iowa to 8 first downs, 184 total yards and 7 points.

Special Teams - Austin Starr, PK - Indiana. Four for four on field goals in a nice IU win over Minnesota.

Get Gamm:
A three way tie at 5-1 this week brings us to the tiebreaker. AndrewJ1313 was closest on the final margin, predicting a 14 point OSU win over Purdue.

Schedule:
Illinois at Iowa
Kent State at Ohio State
Minnesota at Northwestern
Purdue at Michigan
Wisconsin at Penn State (tiebreaker)
Indiana at Michigan State

Tuesday, October 02, 2007

Get Gamm - Week Six...
Things are getting interesting in the wild and wacky Big Ten. Illinois is tied atop the standings - yes, that Illinois. Penn State and Iowa are tied at the bottom. Michigan and Ohio State - surprise - are also at the top, but Michigan faces a possible forfeiture of the Penn State win. Wisconsin and Purdue are also unbeaten and frankly, just about everyone has a shot at the title.

As the season goes on, I really see a 3 or 4 team tie at the top with 6-2 crowning the champ. Minnesota is the only team that might not win any league games, everyone else is primed to upset or be upset. This week alone, we have an elimination game of sorts, as Iowa travels to Penn State. Loser is officially out of the race. At least one more unbeaten (overall) will fall when OSU travels to Purdue for the game of the week. Another conference unbeaten will drop when Wisconsin heads to Champaign to take on the surging Illini.

This is why we love the Big Ten!

Schedule:
Minnesota at Indiana
Wisconsin at Illinois
Eastern Michigan at Michigan
Northwestern at Michigan State
Iowa at Penn State
Ohio State at Purdue (Tiebreaker)

Minnesota at Indiana
Indiana stepped a game closer to a bowl bid last weekend and if they want to get all the way there, the Hoosiers must take care of business in a game like this. It appears that Minnesota is making the full transition to the new style of offense, come hell or high water. I credit the coaching staff for growing through the down times, but it has to be killing the fans to see the Gophers go from a nice stretch of bowl seasons to the very realistic possibility of one, yep, one win. IU can't get complacent or cocky, they just need to take care of business. They will. Indiana 42 - Minnesota 31.

Bruce S says ... Minnesota 21 - Indiana 41. Indiana's offense is very good and will be going against a suspect Gopher squad that can now be described as rebuilding or in transition from one style to another. Either way, they have a multitude of problems which need attention. I'm sure there are plenty of Minnesota fans now wondering if Glen Mason was really all that bad. Indiana should win at home easily.

Wisconsin at Illinois
Can you believe this: the Badgers are 2.5 DOGS at Illinois. Whoa Nellie! Talk about a little disrespect! Wisconsin has a nation's best 14-game winning streak and is fifth in the country. The Illini have doubled the output of last season and did just beat then 21st ranked Penn State, but this is a little over the top. According to Vegas that means the Badgers would be half point favorites at home. Um, is Illinois that much better than MSU who was a 7.5 underdog in Madison last week? I digress. Illinois is getting better, but they are not to Wisconsin's caliber yet. The home crowd will be huge, but not enough. Wisconsin 27 - Illinois 20.

Bruce S says ... Wisconsin 27 - Illinois 23. This was a hard game for me to pick. I am impressed with how well Illinois is playing. However, Wisconsin seems to be playing just well enough to win. They may be doing it with smoke and mirrors but however they are doing it, they have a 14 game winning streak. Even on the road I like the Badgers to somehow escape Champaign Urbana with a hard fought road win.

Eastern Michigan at Michigan
This is what the doctor ordered for a Michigan team that is banged up beyond belief and still not where it should be. Mario Manningham is suspended for this one, but that won't matter. Eastern hasn't been good forever and this one isn't going to be a MAC v. Big Ten upset. Michigan 37 - Eastern Michigan 10.

Bruce S says ... Eastern Michigan 13 - Michigan 48. This should be a laugher for Michigan. This non-conference game comes at a good time for Michigan, to help build some confidence heading into the second half of the season. Whomever is at QB, they will have a good day and the Maize & Blue will roll easily.

Northwestern at Michigan State
Spartans everywhere know that the green and white are in very familiar territory. We're eager to see if this version can indeed put a tough loss behind it and take care of business in a game it should win going away. That hasn't been the case the last few years and so has ensued the October/November swoon in East Lansing. Northwestern gave Michigan fits for a half but fell apart late. The Wildcats are banged up but the pesky spread offense always gives them a chance. I expect State to jump on NU early and not look back, though a late score will make it closer than it really was. Michigan State 33 - Northwestern 20.

Bruce S says ... Northwestern 24 - Michigan State 34. Northwestern's spread offense will give the Spartan defense problems all day long. However, I think the Spartans will come up with enough big plays to slow down the Wildcats allowing the Spartan offense to score enough points to pull this one out. I'm betting the Spartan offense that showed up in Madison last week will show this Saturday, not the Spartan offense that showed up in weeks 2 & 3 against BGSU & Pitt.

Iowa at Penn State
Man, before the season started, this one had the makings of a potential grind 'em out, smash-mouth, Big Ten classic. Um yeah, not so much at this point. Iowa has lost three in a row and got smacked in the mouth, at home no less, by Indiana. Penn State has lost two straight on the road. The Nits were beaten by a ripe for the picking Michigan squad and then gave the game away at Illinois with numerous red zone turnovers. Penn State isn't as bad as they've played and Iowa is probably not as good as we thought they could be. Still, this will be an old-school battle. Penn State 18 - Iowa 12.

Bruce S says ... Iowa 17 - Penn State 31. Iowa is in a funk right now and is not playing up to everyone's expectations. On the road at Penn St, who is not in a good mood after last week's loss will be too much for the Hawkeyes to overcome. Iowa's problems continue and Penn St. gets back in the win column.

Ohio State at Purdue (Tiebreaker)
This is the game to tune into. Purdue scores points at a break-neck pace. Ohio State hits hard enough to break necks. Something has to give. The Buckeyes have been efficient and balanced on offense and just don't make many mistakes. Purdue has yet to play against any semblance of a defense and its own defense is porous at times. I think this could play out a lot like the classic game that OSU won in West Lafayette back when it won the National Title. Forget about that one? They're reliving it all week on the Big Ten Network. One unbeaten will fall. Ohio State is more tested and big battle ready. Ohio State 23 - Purdue 16.

Bruce S says ... Ohio State 34 - Purdue 27. The toughest pick of the week. Purdue will be facing the best defense they will have seen to date. This should slow their explosive offense. Ohio State appears to be picking up steam and playing much better in recent weeks. Defense wins games and I like Ohio State's more than I like Purdue's. The Buckeyes get a good road win.

Monday, October 01, 2007

Monday Evening QB...
Another week, another set of unforgettable outcomes. It wasn't so much that all the games were instant classics - though Michigan State vs. Wisconsin certainly didn't disappoint - but there were upsets, eye-openers and more not only around the Big Ten, but all over college football.

Has there ever been a weekend that saw 3, 4, 5, 7, 10 and 11 in the rankings go down? No. 1 almost did, No. 6 almost swapped with 11 (Cal/Oregon to have a heavy run of national title contenders mowed down. Ah that's why you gotta love college football. You just never know what you're going to get from week to week.
  • Illinois - What a fine weekend for the Illini. A win over ranked Penn State was a huge step towards cred for this program that is trying to rise from the ashes. Saturday's win gives Illinois as many this year as the last two campaigns combined. The Illini aren't a contender yet in my book, but they are a spoiler for sure and almost a lock to go bowling.
  • Indiana - Ditto the sentiments above. The loss to Illinois a week ago really dented the Hoosiers... until they slapped around Iowa, in Iowa City no less. Kellen Lewis is a thrill to watch at QB and as that team builds confidence, it too will be a thorn in the contenders' sides this fall/
  • Iowa - try this on for size: Iowa is 4-10 since starting last season 4-0. Ouch. And what the heck happened to the defense that surrendered just two TDs in the first four games?
  • Michigan - Just when you think Michigan is all the way back, they struggle to escape at Northwestern. This is the same Northwestern team that lost to Duke ... Duke of the 22-straight losses fame. Michigan is in big trouble if Henne and Hart aren't on this team. Lucky for the maize and blue, they are still in one-piece.
  • Michigan State - heartbreak city for the Spartans. A couple of plays here or there and this team is probably top 15, top 20 for sure (thanks in part to all of the upsets). Now we'll see what State is made of, with two tough, but winnable home games before a brutal stretch to close the season.
  • Minnesota - um, yeah, what do you say about Minny? The coaching staff is installing a new offense and not without growing pains. The defense is sieve-like - at best. Is there another win to be had for the maroon and gold?
  • Northwestern - The Wildcats bounced back nicely from the shellacking in Columbus. Untimely turnovers killed an upset bid and now the 'cats are focused on pay back for the blown 38-3 lead at the hands of MSU last fall.
  • Ohio State - the Buckeyes appear to have replaced all of the lost skill players and are fielding what looks to be an even better defense than last year. This is the team to beat in the Big Ten.
  • Penn State - what a disappointment. Granted, the Nits went on the road for two straight to open league play, but 0-2? The offense is in a funk and the defense is overloaded. Can they right the ship?
  • Purdue - The Boilermakers still haven't really played anyone but got to join the dog pile with a win over rival Notre Dame. The first real test comes this weekend when OSU comes to town.
  • Wisconsin - Someone, this team just finds a way. Saturday's win made it 14 in a row, and 22 of 23 at home. Wow. It wasn't always pretty and there are gaps with this team, but you have to consider the Badgers to be Ohio State's best competition for the crown.

Players of the Week:
So many stars to choose from this week.

Offense - Kellen Lewis, QB - IU
Defense - James Laurinaitis, LB - OSU
Special Teams - Taylor Melhaff. K - WIS

Get Gamm:
A bevy of 4-2 records this week, but one stood above the rest with the foresight to pick Illinois AND Indiana. BruceS gets win number two and a chance for home page redemption! Bruce, I am out on Thursday and Friday this week, so I need your picks Wed.

Schedule:
Minnesota at Indiana
Wisconsin at Illinois
Eastern Michigan at Michigan
Northwestern at Michigan State
Iowa at Penn State
Ohio State at Purdue (Tiebreaker)